Toplam Tahmin
855
Doğru
552
Yanlış
303
Başarı Oranı
%64.56
ADESE - Adese AVM
Tahmin ID: #133443 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 30.07.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 0.8500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 0.8600 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.03
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 30.07.2026 | 0.8603 TL | %0.03 |
| 31.07.2026 | 0.8607 TL | %0.05 |
| 03.08.2026 | 0.8608 TL | %0.02 |
| 04.08.2026 | 0.8604 TL | %-0.05 |
| 05.08.2026 | 0.8597 TL | %-0.08 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %44.08 | %52.51 | 152 |
| 5 Gün | %44.90 | %98.17 | 147 |
| 4 Gün | %38.51 | %91.63 | 148 |
| 2 Gün | %38.41 | %89.90 | 151 |
| 3 Gün | %36.67 | %90.55 | 150 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 1.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 1.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.00 | -1.96 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.03 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.01 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 1.03 | 0.99 | -1.98 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 1.03 | 1.00 | 1.01 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 0.98 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 0.97 | -1.02 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.95 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 0.96 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 0.98 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 0.98 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.96 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.93 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 3.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 0.95 | 0.95 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 6.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.98 | -2.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.98 | -2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1.07 | 1.07 | -8.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 1.11 | 1.07 | -8.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 1.12 | 1.06 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 1.12 | 1.03 | -2.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 1.06 | 1.07 | -4.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 1.08 | 1.07 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 1.09 | 1.07 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 1.11 | 1.04 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 1.10 | 1.02 | -1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 1.07 | 1.02 | -1.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 1.06 | 1.02 | -1.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 1.04 | 0.95 | -6.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 5.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.01 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.01 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.03 | -0.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.05 | 1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 0.99 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 0.98 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 1.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.01 | 2.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.03 | 1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 1.02 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.01 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.00 | -0.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 1.00 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 0.99 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1.01 | 0.99 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.99 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 1.00 | 0.97 | -2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 0.98 | 0.96 | -1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 0.97 | 0.94 | -2.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.94 | -2.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.93 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |