Toplam Tahmin
1070
Doğru
539
Yanlış
531
Başarı Oranı
%50.37
ALCTL - Alcatel Teletaş
Tahmin ID: #158466 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 88.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 636.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-3.30
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 25.09.2026 | 623.8624 TL | %-1.91 |
| 28.09.2026 | 620.0139 TL | %-0.62 |
| 29.09.2026 | 626.7288 TL | %1.08 |
| 30.09.2026 | 625.2628 TL | %-0.23 |
| 01.10.2026 | 615.0923 TL | %-1.63 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %25.13 | %111.01 | 187 |
| 2 Gün | %23.56 | %292.07 | 191 |
| 5 Gün | %18.28 | %265.68 | 186 |
| 1 Gün | %30.73 | %138.34 | 192 |
| 3 Gün | %23.16 | %117.24 | 190 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 109.00 | 103.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 109.00 | 103.00 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 107.67 | 104.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 107.00 | 104.00 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 106.60 | 103.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 105.80 | 103.00 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 104.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 105.40 | 104.00 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 105.20 | 106.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.01.2026 | 1 | 105.00 | 106.00 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 105.00 | 104.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 104.80 | 104.00 | -1.89 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 104.20 | 105.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 105.00 | 0.96 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 104.00 | 110.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 103.80 | 110.00 | 4.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 104.60 | 113.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 105.80 | 113.00 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 107.80 | 112.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 109.60 | 112.00 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 110.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 111.80 | 110.00 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 111.80 | 110.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 111.00 | 110.00 | 0.92 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 111.20 | 117.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 111.60 | 117.00 | 2.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 112.40 | 120.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 113.80 | 120.00 | 2.56 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 116.00 | 126.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 117.20 | 126.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 119.60 | 131.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 121.60 | 131.00 | 3.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 124.40 | 135.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 126.40 | 135.00 | 3.05 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 129.40 | 136.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 131.20 | 136.00 | 0.74 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 133.20 | 138.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 134.40 | 138.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 135.60 | 138.00 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 135.80 | 138.00 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 136.40 | 138.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 136.80 | 138.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 137.20 | 143.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 137.60 | 143.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 138.00 | 143.00 | 3.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 138.00 | 143.00 | 3.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 139.20 | 141.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 140.40 | 141.00 | -1.40 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 141.00 | 141.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 141.60 | 141.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 142.20 | 143.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 141.60 | 143.00 | 1.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 141.40 | 137.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 141.80 | 137.00 | -4.20 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 141.00 | 140.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 140.20 | 140.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 139.40 | 140.00 | 2.19 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 138.20 | 140.00 | 2.19 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 137.60 | 139.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 138.20 | 139.00 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 138.40 | 136.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 138.60 | 136.00 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 138.40 | 140.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 137.60 | 140.00 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 137.40 | 146.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 137.60 | 146.00 | 4.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 136.20 | 131.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 135.20 | 131.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 134.60 | 136.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 133.40 | 136.00 | 2.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 132.80 | 133.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 133.80 | 133.00 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 134.21 | 133.00 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 135.63 | 140.00 | 5.26 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 136.44 | 137.00 | -2.14 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 134.45 | 126.00 | -8.03 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 131.63 | 122.00 | -3.17 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 129.03 | 120.20 | -1.48 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 125.50 | 122.50 | 1.91 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 121.98 | 117.50 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 120.67 | 117.50 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 120.19 | 117.50 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 119.64 | 117.50 | -1.67 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 118.62 | 124.30 | 5.79 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 118.19 | 124.30 | 5.79 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 119.11 | 124.30 | 5.79 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 120.28 | 124.90 | -0.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 121.79 | 127.00 | 1.68 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 249.98 | 126.10 | -83.39 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 251.64 | 127.10 | 0.79 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 252.03 | 127.90 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 252.77 | 129.10 | 0.94 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 253.54 | 134.50 | 4.18 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 130.07 | 135.10 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 131.68 | 134.60 | -0.37 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 133.44 | 136.80 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 134.59 | 136.80 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 135.80 | 136.80 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 134.59 | 136.80 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 134.74 | 136.80 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 134.68 | 136.80 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 134.52 | 136.80 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 134.99 | 139.00 | 1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 135.80 | 136.00 | -2.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 136.30 | 136.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 136.67 | 134.70 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 136.86 | 135.80 | 0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 136.59 | 131.50 | -3.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 135.21 | 133.70 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 134.56 | 140.80 | 5.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 135.40 | 142.50 | 1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 136.86 | 146.90 | 3.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 138.23 | 146.90 | 3.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 141.21 | 150.30 | 2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 144.39 | 148.60 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 145.96 | 143.50 | -3.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 146.16 | 144.50 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 146.56 | 147.80 | 2.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 146.10 | 147.80 | 2.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 145.70 | 145.70 | -1.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 145.16 | 144.40 | -0.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 145.41 | 143.10 | -0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 145.38 | 143.10 | -0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 145.13 | 143.90 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 144.37 | 136.50 | -5.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 142.59 | 134.50 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 140.62 | 137.30 | 2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 139.20 | 125.10 | -8.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 138.01 | 125.10 | -8.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 136.74 | 127.10 | 1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 115.34 | 135.30 | 262.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 114.77 | 130.00 | -3.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 115.36 | 136.40 | 4.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 115.04 | 137.50 | 0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 115.21 | 134.20 | -0.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 134.77 | 131.00 | -2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 133.94 | 128.00 | -2.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 133.59 | 128.30 | 0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 132.00 | 128.30 | 0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 130.17 | 128.30 | 0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 128.79 | 122.00 | -4.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 128.41 | 125.40 | 2.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 127.76 | 131.20 | 4.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 127.19 | 131.20 | 4.63 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 127.67 | 131.20 | 4.63 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 128.39 | 135.50 | 2.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 129.71 | 149.00 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 134.91 | 148.90 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 139.55 | 149.80 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 143.31 | 155.00 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 147.90 | 147.40 | -4.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 150.37 | 145.80 | -1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 149.34 | 141.30 | -3.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 147.93 | 153.10 | 8.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 148.56 | 155.90 | 1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 148.80 | 162.00 | 3.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 151.09 | 160.20 | 0.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 153.86 | 157.50 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 157.03 | 158.50 | 0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 158.11 | 169.60 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 160.85 | 168.80 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 162.94 | 166.00 | -1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 164.87 | 166.00 | -1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 166.59 | 163.80 | -1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 168.12 | 163.80 | -1.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 166.92 | 168.50 | 2.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 166.70 | 167.50 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 166.32 | 159.90 | -4.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 165.13 | 156.00 | -2.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 163.14 | 153.20 | -1.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 161.05 | 145.70 | -4.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 158.02 | 145.70 | -4.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 153.66 | 146.30 | 0.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 150.95 | 138.00 | -5.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 147.35 | 139.90 | 1.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 144.75 | 141.20 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 142.31 | 141.00 | -0.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 142.91 | 150.70 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 143.38 | 150.20 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 145.78 | 158.30 | 5.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 149.38 | 163.40 | 3.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 153.81 | 168.40 | 3.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 157.71 | 172.30 | 2.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 162.36 | 174.50 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 167.20 | 165.70 | -5.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 168.72 | 175.50 | 5.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 169.13 | 180.80 | 3.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 171.63 | 178.70 | -1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 81.43 | 181.90 | 1350.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 81.86 | 175.20 | -3.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 146.66 | 157.50 | 507.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 114.83 | 157.50 | 507.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.08.2026 | 1 | 111.18 | 141.80 | -9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 200.10 | 107.00 | 1582.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 48.35 | 44.44 | 1832.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 162.96 | 123.30 | 250.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 148.11 | 123.30 | 250.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 173.23 | 120.30 | -2.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 87.21 | 115.50 | -4.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 105.11 | 114.60 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 120.90 | 116.00 | -82.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.09.2026 | 1 | 319.26 | 112.80 | -83.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 420.81 | 111.80 | -0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 418.13 | 112.40 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 420.64 | 95.40 | 4792.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 317.16 | 91.50 | -4.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 209.03 | 90.05 | -1.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 204.88 | 92.70 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.09.2026 | 1 | 75.50 | 93.00 | 0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |