Toplam Tahmin
1065
Doğru
621
Yanlış
444
Başarı Oranı
%58.31
ALGYO - Alarko GYO
Tahmin ID: #158468 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 2.9600 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 3.0500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %4.75
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 25.09.2026 | 3.0251 TL | %-0.82 |
| 28.09.2026 | 3.0822 TL | %1.89 |
| 29.09.2026 | 3.0471 TL | %-1.14 |
| 30.09.2026 | 3.1758 TL | %4.22 |
| 01.10.2026 | 3.1946 TL | %0.59 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %29.47 | %366.72 | 190 |
| 4 Gün | %23.12 | %174.72 | 186 |
| 3 Gün | %29.63 | %150.91 | 189 |
| 1 Gün | %38.95 | %356.23 | 190 |
| 5 Gün | %24.32 | %170.49 | 185 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 24.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 17.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 11.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 4.58 | 4.89 | 22.25 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.97 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 5.02 | -3.28 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.85 | 5.02 | -3.28 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 5.02 | -3.28 | ✅ | 0.52 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.08 | 5.19 | 3.39 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.09 | 5.19 | 3.39 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.08 | 5.19 | 3.39 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 5.07 | 4.94 | -3.14 | ❌ | 0.46 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 4.90 | -0.81 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.88 | 5.27 | 6.04 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.98 | 5.57 | 5.69 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 5.14 | 5.71 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 5.32 | 5.71 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 5.48 | 5.71 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 5.51 | 5.71 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 5.57 | 5.71 | 2.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 5.56 | 5.71 | 2.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 5.56 | 5.71 | 2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 6.10 | 6.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 5.71 | 6.12 | 0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 5.83 | 6.19 | 1.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 5.96 | 5.86 | -5.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 6.03 | 5.69 | -2.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 6.02 | 5.28 | -7.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 5.85 | 5.22 | -1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 5.04 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 5.45 | 5.02 | -0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 5.27 | 4.97 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 5.13 | 4.97 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 5.07 | 4.93 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.18 | 5.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 5.23 | 0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 5.06 | 5.42 | 3.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 5.14 | 5.29 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 5.22 | 5.29 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 5.29 | 5.33 | 0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 5.32 | 5.14 | -3.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 5.30 | 4.86 | -5.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 5.25 | 4.86 | -5.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 5.14 | 5.22 | 7.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 5.13 | 5.24 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 5.12 | 5.76 | 9.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 5.24 | 6.33 | 9.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 5.48 | 6.58 | 3.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 5.77 | 6.58 | 3.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 5.99 | 6.71 | 1.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 25.11 | 7.34 | -92.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 25.32 | 7.20 | -1.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 25.43 | 6.89 | -4.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 25.55 | 7.21 | 4.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 25.76 | 7.77 | 5.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 7.32 | 8.15 | 4.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 7.47 | 8.21 | 0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 7.67 | 7.40 | -9.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 7.92 | 7.40 | -9.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 8.09 | 7.40 | -9.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 8.02 | 6.66 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 7.88 | 6.86 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 7.62 | 7.10 | 3.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 7.36 | 7.10 | 3.50 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 7.14 | 7.10 | 3.50 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 7.09 | 7.39 | 3.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 7.08 | 7.80 | 5.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 7.11 | 6.80 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 7.10 | 6.59 | -3.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 6.99 | 6.92 | 5.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 6.95 | 6.99 | 1.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 6.87 | 6.96 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 6.86 | 6.27 | -9.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 6.89 | 5.75 | -8.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 6.72 | 5.84 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 6.50 | 5.26 | -9.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 6.05 | 4.67 | -1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 4.21 | -9.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 4.24 | 0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 4.74 | 4.24 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 3.99 | -5.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 4.31 | 4.01 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.01 | 0.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.03 | 0.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.03 | 0.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 4.09 | 3.94 | -2.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 4.04 | 4.02 | 2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3.99 | 3.92 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.80 | -3.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 3.93 | 3.70 | -2.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.66 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.66 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 3.75 | 3.63 | -0.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.45 | -4.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 3.66 | 3.47 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.48 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3.57 | 3.55 | 2.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.58 | 2.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.66 | 2.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.80 | 3.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.67 | -3.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.59 | -2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.59 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.51 | -2.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.49 | -0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 3.59 | 3.48 | -0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.36 | -3.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 10.97 | 3.30 | -91.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 14.84 | 3.71 | -91.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 14.02 | 3.69 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 13.06 | 3.69 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 26.32 | 3.67 | -4.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 17.70 | 3.55 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 24.93 | 3.50 | -5.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 25.77 | 3.35 | -58.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 4.52 | 3.25 | -2.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 4.47 | 3.11 | -4.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |