Toplam Tahmin

1070

Doğru

664

Yanlış

406

Başarı Oranı

%62.06

ARASE - Doğu Aras Enerji

Tahmin ID: #158478 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 95.3500 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 99.2500 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-6.82
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
28.09.2026 101.7458 TL %2.51
29.09.2026 94.4638 TL %-7.16
30.09.2026 92.8714 TL %-1.69
01.10.2026 96.6059 TL %4.02
02.10.2026 92.2421 TL %-4.52
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
3 Gün %33.68 %120.76 190
4 Gün %28.34 %52.97 187
5 Gün %28.34 %135.48 187
1 Gün %45.55 %84.93 191
2 Gün %35.79 %73.86 190
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 69.00 68.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 69.00 68.00 -2.86 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 68.00 70.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 67.50 70.00 2.94 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 67.40 74.00 5.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 67.00 74.00 5.71 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 67.00 71.00 -4.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 67.60 71.00 -4.05 ✅ 0.00
06.01.2026 1 68.20 70.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
06.01.2026 1 68.60 70.00 2.94 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 69.40 71.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 69.80 71.00 1.43 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 70.40 73.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 71.00 73.00 2.82 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 72.00 74.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 72.60 74.00 1.37 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 73.40 77.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 74.00 77.00 4.05 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 75.20 77.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 76.00 77.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 77.00 77.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 77.80 77.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 78.40 79.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 78.40 79.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 78.40 77.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 78.20 77.00 -1.28 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 77.80 78.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 77.60 78.00 1.30 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 77.60 78.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 77.60 78.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 77.60 79.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 77.80 79.00 1.28 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 78.20 80.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 78.40 80.00 1.27 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 78.80 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 79.20 80.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 79.60 81.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 79.80 81.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 80.00 81.00 1.25 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 80.00 81.00 1.25 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 80.20 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 80.40 82.00 1.23 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 80.80 82.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.20 82.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.60 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 81.80 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 82.00 83.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 82.00 83.00 1.22 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 82.20 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 82.40 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 82.60 81.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 82.80 81.00 -2.41 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 82.60 81.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 82.20 81.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.80 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.40 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.00 82.00 1.23 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 81.00 82.00 1.23 ✅ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 81.20 82.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
10.02.2026 1 81.40 82.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 81.80 83.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 82.20 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 82.60 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 82.80 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 83.00 85.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 83.00 85.00 2.41 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 83.40 85.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 83.80 85.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 83.80 86.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 83.80 86.00 3.61 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 84.40 85.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 84.60 85.00 -1.16 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 84.60 85.00 -1.16 ✅ 0.55
26.02.2026 1 85.01 85.00 0.00 ✅ 0.55
27.02.2026 1 85.22 84.00 -1.18 ✅ 0.55
02.03.2026 1 84.82 84.00 0.00 ✅ 0.55
03.03.2026 1 84.03 82.00 -2.38 ✅ 0.55
04.03.2026 1 83.59 82.80 0.98 ✅ 0.55
05.03.2026 1 83.30 83.55 0.91 ✅ 0.55
09.03.2026 1 82.97 83.00 0.79 ✅ 0.55
09.03.2026 1 82.64 83.00 0.79 ✅ 0.55
09.03.2026 1 82.85 83.00 0.79 ✅ 0.55
10.03.2026 1 82.89 85.80 3.37 ✅ 0.55
10.03.2026 1 82.78 85.80 3.37 ✅ 0.55
10.03.2026 1 83.48 85.80 3.37 ✅ 0.56
13.03.2026 1 85.38 97.20 5.88 ✅ 0.60
16.03.2026 1 88.23 104.00 7.00 ✅ 0.71
18.03.2026 1 92.45 102.10 -2.11 ✅ 0.72
19.03.2026 1 96.32 102.50 0.39 ✅ 0.74
23.03.2026 1 99.58 98.85 -3.56 ✅ 0.68
24.03.2026 1 101.00 96.55 -2.33 ❌ 0.66
25.03.2026 1 100.86 95.00 -1.61 ❌ 0.65
26.03.2026 1 99.06 89.50 -5.79 ❌ 0.67
27.03.2026 1 96.45 86.50 -3.35 ✅ 0.68
28.03.2026 1 93.35 88.40 2.20 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 90.89 88.40 2.20 ✅ 0.66
28.03.2026 1 88.90 88.40 2.20 ✅ 0.66
28.03.2026 1 87.21 88.40 2.20 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 86.64 88.40 2.20 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 86.61 88.40 2.20 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 86.59 88.40 2.20 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 86.93 89.00 0.68 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 87.43 88.70 -0.34 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 87.90 89.35 0.73 ✅ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 88.49 93.70 4.87 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 89.93 96.75 3.26 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 91.58 94.25 -2.58 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 92.61 101.70 7.90 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 95.13 100.90 -0.79 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 97.39 102.20 1.29 ❌ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 99.10 101.00 -1.17 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 100.19 101.00 -1.17 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 101.74 104.60 3.56 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 102.32 102.00 -2.49 ✅ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 102.58 100.70 -1.27 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 102.27 103.30 2.58 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 102.52 102.00 -1.26 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 102.79 102.00 -1.26 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 102.35 99.05 -2.89 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 101.77 100.70 1.67 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 101.79 101.10 0.40 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 101.26 101.10 0.40 ✅ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 100.80 100.70 -0.40 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 100.53 110.00 9.24 ✅ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 102.69 104.80 -4.73 ✅ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 103.48 104.50 -0.29 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 104.26 104.40 -0.10 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 104.91 104.40 -0.10 ✅ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 105.66 105.00 0.57 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 104.58 104.00 -0.95 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 104.60 104.00 -0.95 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 104.57 104.00 -0.95 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 104.44 107.80 3.65 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 105.16 108.50 0.65 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 105.96 110.40 1.75 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 107.10 116.80 5.80 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 108.37 112.90 1.71 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 110.03 114.80 1.68 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 111.36 111.00 -3.31 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 111.89 111.90 0.81 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 111.98 111.90 0.81 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 112.07 111.90 0.81 ✅ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 112.13 106.60 -4.74 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 110.46 109.50 2.72 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 110.10 110.90 1.28 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 109.80 110.90 1.28 ✅ 0.62
25.05.2026 1 109.73 110.90 1.28 ✅ 0.63
01.06.2026 1 109.92 124.50 9.60 ❌ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 113.46 126.40 1.53 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 115.97 122.30 0.25 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 118.51 116.10 -5.07 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 119.52 115.50 -0.52 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 119.96 115.20 -0.26 ❌ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 118.20 111.70 -3.04 ❌ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 116.18 111.80 0.09 ✅ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 114.13 112.90 0.98 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 113.59 119.80 6.11 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 114.44 115.30 -3.76 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 114.74 117.50 0.60 ✅ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 115.86 115.80 -1.45 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 116.62 115.80 0.00 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 117.15 116.20 0.35 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 116.44 115.20 -0.86 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 116.32 114.30 -0.78 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 116.08 114.30 -0.78 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 115.79 116.90 2.27 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 115.45 116.90 2.27 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 115.59 116.90 0.00 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 115.73 115.90 -0.86 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 115.66 115.20 -0.60 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 115.82 119.00 3.30 ❌ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 116.77 120.50 1.26 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 117.48 119.00 -1.24 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 118.20 119.00 -1.24 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 118.83 119.90 0.76 ✅ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 119.77 118.30 -1.33 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 119.94 119.80 1.27 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 119.81 122.10 1.92 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 120.12 121.90 -0.16 ✅ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 121.02 128.00 3.64 ✅ 0.60
17.07.2026 1 122.64 124.60 -2.66 ✅ 0.60
20.07.2026 1 123.59 123.70 -0.72 ❌ 0.60
21.07.2026 1 124.38 124.60 0.73 ✅ 0.60
22.07.2026 1 124.91 123.50 -0.88 ❌ 0.60
23.07.2026 1 125.13 121.60 -1.54 ❌ 0.60
24.07.2026 1 124.25 119.00 -2.14 ❌ 0.60
27.07.2026 1 123.15 117.20 -1.51 ❌ 0.60
28.07.2026 1 121.85 27.18 -76.81 ❌ 0.60
29.07.2026 1 120.38 27.00 -0.66 ❌ 0.60
30.07.2026 1 100.87 9.40 -65.19 ❌ 0.60
31.07.2026 1 81.53 9.39 -0.11 ❌ 0.60
03.08.2026 1 59.59 112.00 1092.76 ❌ 0.60
05.08.2026 1 154.34 28.32 -96.07 ✅ 0.60
06.08.2026 1 154.57 112.00 295.48 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 170.91 9.10 -91.88 ✅ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 190.61 9.10 -91.88 ✅ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 210.30 9.10 -91.88 ✅ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 72.34 106.90 1074.73 ✅ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 68.53 106.90 1074.73 ✅ 0.60
11.08.2026 1 70.33 107.80 0.84 ✅ 0.60
12.08.2026 1 72.47 134.80 25.05 ✅ 0.60
13.08.2026 1 76.13 2.21 -98.36 ✅ 0.60
18.08.2026 1 181.34 15.68 -94.38 ✅ 0.60
19.08.2026 1 160.68 28.50 81.76 ❌ 0.60
20.08.2026 1 141.23 123.00 331.58 ✅ 0.60
21.08.2026 1 162.91 124.20 0.98 ❌ 0.60
24.08.2026 1 59.17 122.60 -1.29 ❌ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 79.57 27.72 -77.39 ✅ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 99.12 27.72 -77.39 ✅ 0.60
26.08.2026 1 98.74 105.80 281.67 ❌ 0.60
27.08.2026 1 97.04 180.00 70.13 ❌ 0.60
31.08.2026 1 98.69 27.20 -77.67 ❌ 0.60
02.09.2026 1 81.10 103.80 286.45 ✅ 0.60
03.09.2026 1 80.09 104.00 0.19 ✅ 0.60
04.09.2026 1 95.94 104.70 0.67 ✅ 0.60
07.09.2026 1 95.28 120.80 15.38 ❌ 0.60
09.09.2026 1 91.91 128.70 6.19 ❌ 0.60
10.09.2026 1 109.94 123.10 -4.35 ✅ 0.60
11.09.2026 1 112.12 122.00 -0.89 ✅ 0.60
15.09.2026 1 96.52 114.60 330.83 ✅ 0.60
17.09.2026 1 79.86 114.90 668.05 ✅ 0.60
18.09.2026 1 79.40 107.10 -6.79 ✅ 0.60
21.09.2026 1 78.23 104.60 -2.33 ❌ 0.60
22.09.2026 1 74.97 103.50 -1.05 ✅ 0.60
23.09.2026 1 89.69 102.50 -0.97 ✅ 0.60
24.09.2026 1 106.93 6.97 -93.20 ✅ 0.60