Toplam Tahmin
1050
Doğru
557
Yanlış
493
Başarı Oranı
%53.05
ASELS - Aselsan
Tahmin ID: #158487 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 359.0000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 372.2500 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-10.12
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 386.1472 TL | %3.73 |
| 29.09.2026 | 381.8958 TL | %-1.10 |
| 30.09.2026 | 376.9472 TL | %-1.30 |
| 01.10.2026 | 356.1160 TL | %-5.53 |
| 02.10.2026 | 334.9894 TL | %-5.93 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %21.62 | %280.38 | 185 |
| 2 Gün | %25.93 | %598.31 | 189 |
| 4 Gün | %27.96 | %204.84 | 186 |
| 1 Gün | %31.41 | %163.21 | 191 |
| 3 Gün | %24.47 | %511.93 | 188 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 204.00 | 221.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 204.00 | 221.00 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 204.33 | 229.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 204.50 | 229.00 | 3.62 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 205.00 | 231.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 205.60 | 231.00 | 0.87 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 207.00 | 230.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 208.20 | 230.00 | -0.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 219.40 | 263.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 230.20 | 263.00 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 242.40 | 262.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 253.80 | 262.00 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 265.20 | 280.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 266.60 | 280.00 | 6.87 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 271.40 | 283.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 274.80 | 283.00 | 1.07 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 278.80 | 289.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 282.80 | 289.00 | 2.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 288.20 | 288.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 290.20 | 288.00 | -0.35 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 295.00 | 316.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 299.20 | 316.00 | 2.27 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 308.80 | 303.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 317.00 | 303.00 | -9.82 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 318.60 | 300.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 317.40 | 300.00 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 315.60 | 300.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 308.40 | 300.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 301.20 | 323.00 | 7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 300.60 | 323.00 | 7.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 304.60 | 310.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 309.20 | 310.00 | -4.02 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 311.20 | 307.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 313.20 | 307.00 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 314.60 | 319.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 311.40 | 319.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 308.20 | 319.00 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 307.60 | 319.00 | 3.91 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 309.20 | 303.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 311.40 | 303.00 | -5.02 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 310.40 | 299.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 309.60 | 299.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 308.80 | 299.00 | -1.32 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 305.60 | 299.00 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 302.00 | 296.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 301.60 | 296.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 300.20 | 302.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 298.80 | 302.00 | 2.03 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 298.80 | 285.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 299.20 | 285.00 | -5.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 296.20 | 288.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 294.00 | 288.00 | 1.05 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 292.40 | 292.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 289.60 | 292.00 | 1.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 287.40 | 298.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 288.60 | 298.00 | 2.05 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 291.80 | 302.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 294.40 | 302.00 | 0.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 297.20 | 296.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 299.40 | 296.00 | -1.99 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 300.40 | 294.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 299.40 | 294.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 300.60 | 313.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 301.60 | 313.00 | 1.95 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 303.20 | 309.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 306.00 | 309.00 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 308.40 | 306.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 308.60 | 306.00 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 308.45 | 306.00 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 308.70 | 311.00 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 311.13 | 322.00 | 3.54 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 317.49 | 340.00 | 5.59 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 320.31 | 322.00 | -5.29 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 325.72 | 333.00 | 3.42 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 332.56 | 345.00 | 3.60 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 334.96 | 319.00 | -4.35 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 333.81 | 319.00 | -4.35 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 333.32 | 319.00 | -4.35 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 333.59 | 334.25 | 4.78 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 328.42 | 334.25 | 4.78 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 325.52 | 334.25 | 4.78 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 325.91 | 322.25 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.57 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 326.47 | 320.50 | -0.54 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 327.73 | 348.75 | 2.20 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 333.52 | 338.75 | -2.87 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 339.38 | 353.25 | 4.28 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 342.69 | 352.00 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 348.47 | 337.50 | -4.12 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 347.82 | 338.00 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 345.67 | 330.75 | -2.15 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 341.98 | 320.50 | -3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 337.55 | 320.50 | -3.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 333.38 | 320.50 | -3.10 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 331.92 | 320.50 | -3.10 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 330.52 | 320.50 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 330.59 | 320.50 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 330.71 | 320.50 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 328.74 | 320.25 | -0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 326.77 | 320.25 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 324.71 | 336.50 | 5.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 325.94 | 330.50 | -1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 325.77 | 337.00 | 1.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 328.98 | 342.00 | 1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 333.27 | 362.25 | 5.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 337.58 | 376.75 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 345.56 | 398.50 | 5.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 359.19 | 415.25 | 4.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 371.57 | 415.25 | 4.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 386.21 | 411.75 | -0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 400.21 | 416.75 | 1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 408.25 | 411.00 | -1.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 410.67 | 414.00 | 0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 413.94 | 408.00 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 413.73 | 408.00 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 412.94 | 396.50 | -2.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 333.13 | 392.00 | 1127.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 256.53 | 392.00 | 1127.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 252.86 | 415.00 | 5.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 253.44 | 414.50 | -0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 257.61 | 425.50 | 2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 336.84 | 420.25 | -1.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 408.22 | 431.75 | 2.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 405.77 | 431.75 | 2.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 317.43 | 428.00 | 15751.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 328.21 | 428.50 | 0.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 327.72 | 431.75 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 338.73 | 419.25 | -2.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 342.41 | 415.50 | 0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 425.11 | 415.00 | -0.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 421.16 | 402.00 | -3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 415.79 | 393.50 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 409.91 | 393.50 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 407.82 | 393.50 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 403.01 | 377.75 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 395.57 | 410.00 | 8.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 397.19 | 401.75 | -2.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 398.36 | 401.75 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 25.05.2026 | 1 | 398.22 | 401.75 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.48 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 395.74 | 384.00 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 396.97 | 407.75 | 6.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 391.74 | 362.25 | -5.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 382.35 | 103.30 | -71.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 322.72 | 368.00 | 256.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 320.24 | 357.25 | -2.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 315.09 | 376.75 | 5.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 313.26 | 377.75 | 0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 315.99 | 371.25 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 368.79 | 375.75 | 1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 369.80 | 394.00 | 4.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 375.85 | 410.75 | 3.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 379.88 | 402.50 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 385.10 | 394.75 | -1.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 390.66 | 392.00 | -0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 394.47 | 367.50 | -6.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 395.38 | 373.50 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 395.13 | 373.50 | 1.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 389.23 | 361.50 | -3.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 384.77 | 361.50 | -3.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 378.93 | 357.50 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 371.98 | 345.00 | -3.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 362.12 | 371.25 | 7.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 361.70 | 384.75 | 3.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 364.10 | 399.50 | 3.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 371.43 | 401.75 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 379.65 | 401.75 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 391.10 | 383.00 | -4.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 393.48 | 377.00 | -1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 392.99 | 358.75 | -4.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 385.03 | 370.00 | 3.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 379.29 | 352.50 | -4.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 368.67 | 352.50 | 1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 362.70 | 351.50 | -0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 356.84 | 354.50 | 0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 355.99 | 360.00 | 1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 353.90 | 370.00 | 2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 356.20 | 376.25 | 1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 360.78 | 380.25 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 366.12 | 360.50 | -5.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 367.20 | 358.00 | -0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 367.20 | 354.50 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 366.11 | 67.85 | -80.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 361.82 | 72.30 | 6.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 300.27 | 336.25 | 365.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 173.77 | 346.75 | 2097.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 171.73 | 363.00 | 4.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 168.69 | 353.75 | -2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 221.75 | 353.75 | -2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 275.26 | 353.75 | -2.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 341.61 | 97.45 | -72.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 341.43 | 97.45 | -72.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.08.2026 | 1 | 294.35 | 356.25 | 265.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.08.2026 | 1 | 291.01 | 106.60 | -70.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.08.2026 | 1 | 125.36 | 124.00 | 236.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 131.18 | 381.25 | 207.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.08.2026 | 1 | 94.23 | 403.00 | 5.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 147.95 | 402.25 | -0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 212.22 | 403.25 | 0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 278.10 | 399.75 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 237.30 | 403.75 | 1820.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 241.19 | 386.25 | -4.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 180.80 | 197.90 | 140.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.09.2026 | 1 | 108.33 | 402.25 | 881.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 100.77 | 398.50 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 139.22 | 393.75 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 165.96 | 379.75 | 5.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 228.85 | 372.75 | -1.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 292.07 | 378.00 | 1.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 291.05 | 374.50 | -0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |