Toplam Tahmin
1055
Doğru
584
Yanlış
471
Başarı Oranı
%55.36
CEMAS - Çemaş Döküm
Tahmin ID: #158566 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 3.1800 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 27.5600 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %0.67
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 28.6547 TL | %3.97 |
| 29.09.2026 | 28.0643 TL | %-2.06 |
| 30.09.2026 | 27.4396 TL | %-2.23 |
| 01.10.2026 | 27.6885 TL | %0.91 |
| 02.10.2026 | 27.7096 TL | %0.08 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %28.34 | %306.70 | 187 |
| 1 Gün | %37.23 | %116.32 | 188 |
| 4 Gün | %25.95 | %193.50 | 185 |
| 3 Gün | %29.03 | %197.04 | 186 |
| 5 Gün | %24.46 | %127.71 | 184 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.00 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 6.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.47 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 4.79 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 4.59 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 4.39 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 4.32 | 4.64 | 16.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 4.27 | 4.74 | 2.16 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.39 | 4.52 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.51 | 4.52 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 4.62 | 4.52 | -1.74 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.68 | 3.54 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.55 | 4.68 | 3.54 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.68 | 3.54 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.66 | -1.89 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.57 | -1.93 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.60 | -1.50 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 4.68 | 4.57 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.65 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4.64 | 4.56 | -1.94 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4.62 | 4.56 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.01 | 9.87 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.68 | 5.05 | 0.80 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.77 | 4.80 | -4.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.84 | 4.80 | -4.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 4.80 | -4.95 | ✅ | 0.68 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 5.04 | 4.80 | -4.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 4.80 | -4.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 5.04 | 4.80 | -4.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.77 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 4.90 | 2.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 5.06 | 3.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 5.05 | -0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 5.03 | -0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 4.96 | 4.85 | -3.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 4.97 | 4.98 | 2.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 5.06 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 5.06 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 4.96 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.96 | -1.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 5.04 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 5.03 | 5.04 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 5.03 | 5.02 | -0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 5.16 | 2.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 5.04 | 5.25 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 5.08 | 5.25 | 1.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 5.13 | 5.05 | -3.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 5.13 | 5.00 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 5.12 | 4.95 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 5.09 | 4.95 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 4.96 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 4.85 | -2.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.95 | 4.77 | -1.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 4.79 | 0.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.87 | 4.73 | -1.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.83 | 4.73 | -1.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.76 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.98 | 1.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.94 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 4.96 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.96 | 4.96 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 4.96 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 4.95 | 4.49 | -9.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 4.85 | 4.78 | 6.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 4.82 | 4.86 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 4.79 | 4.86 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 4.76 | 5.02 | 4.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 4.78 | 5.06 | 0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 4.90 | 0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 4.88 | 4.83 | -1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 4.89 | 4.73 | -2.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 4.88 | 4.68 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 4.81 | 4.60 | -1.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 4.75 | 4.50 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.95 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 4.69 | 4.94 | -0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 4.73 | 4.99 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 4.78 | 5.01 | 1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 4.93 | -1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 4.95 | 5.16 | 4.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 4.96 | -3.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 4.76 | -4.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.69 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 4.99 | 4.69 | -1.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.95 | 4.50 | -4.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.85 | 4.50 | -4.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 4.76 | 4.59 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 4.69 | 4.52 | -1.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.45 | -1.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 4.55 | 4.37 | -1.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 4.49 | 4.37 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.46 | 4.31 | -1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.31 | -1.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 4.38 | 4.34 | 0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.17 | -3.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 4.32 | 4.19 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 4.28 | 4.21 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 4.25 | 4.28 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 4.23 | 4.26 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.21 | -1.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.20 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.18 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.20 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.20 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.17 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.15 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.07 | -1.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 4.16 | 4.06 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.87 | 19.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.90 | 0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 4.25 | 4.04 | -17.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 6.13 | 4.15 | -67.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 6.15 | 4.09 | -1.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 6.17 | 4.11 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 6.02 | 4.11 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 5.87 | 4.11 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.80 | 16.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.80 | 16.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |