Toplam Tahmin
1045
Doğru
670
Yanlış
375
Başarı Oranı
%64.11
DURDO - Duran Doğan Basım
Tahmin ID: #158610 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 4.6100 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 21.1400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %4.15
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 20.2690 TL | %-4.12 |
| 29.09.2026 | 20.4061 TL | %0.68 |
| 30.09.2026 | 21.0850 TL | %3.33 |
| 01.10.2026 | 21.1601 TL | %0.36 |
| 02.10.2026 | 21.9871 TL | %3.91 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %39.67 | %789.95 | 184 |
| 1 Gün | %43.85 | %744.37 | 187 |
| 4 Gün | %36.41 | %760.33 | 184 |
| 2 Gün | %42.78 | %408.11 | 187 |
| 5 Gün | %32.97 | %845.15 | 182 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 3.01 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.72 | 2.20 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.72 | 2.20 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.72 | 2.20 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.57 | -4.03 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.55 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.68 | 0.27 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.65 | -0.82 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.73 | 2.19 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.72 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 3.68 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 3.56 | -3.26 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.59 | 0.84 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.61 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.61 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.61 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.63 | 3.61 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.63 | 3.61 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 3.63 | 3.61 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.62 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.69 | 1.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 3.66 | 3.72 | 0.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.63 | -2.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.64 | 0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.72 | 2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.80 | 2.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.94 | 3.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 4.03 | 2.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 3.81 | 4.06 | 0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 3.89 | 4.06 | 0.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 3.95 | 4.16 | 2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 4.03 | 4.15 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 4.25 | 2.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.63 | 8.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.24 | 4.66 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.66 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 4.46 | 4.67 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.67 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4.66 | 4.75 | 1.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 4.66 | 4.75 | 1.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 4.69 | 4.84 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.72 | 4.81 | -0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.75 | 4.71 | -2.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.78 | 4.86 | 3.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.82 | 4.92 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.84 | 4.92 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4.85 | 5.10 | 3.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 5.00 | -1.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 5.00 | -1.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 5.00 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 5.10 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 4.98 | 5.01 | -1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 5.09 | 1.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 5.06 | 4.96 | -2.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 5.02 | 4.78 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 4.97 | 4.64 | -2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 4.88 | 4.65 | 0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.81 | 4.64 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.72 | 4.64 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4.68 | 4.64 | -0.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 4.64 | 4.47 | -3.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 4.61 | 4.91 | 9.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 4.66 | 5.21 | 6.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 4.71 | 5.21 | 6.11 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 4.81 | 5.20 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 4.92 | 5.32 | 2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 5.10 | 5.40 | 1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.40 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 5.29 | 5.52 | 2.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 5.37 | 5.47 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 5.43 | 5.40 | -1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 5.44 | 5.15 | -4.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 5.39 | 5.20 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 5.35 | 5.32 | 2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 5.31 | 5.30 | -0.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 5.31 | 5.27 | -4.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 5.29 | 5.28 | 0.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 5.31 | 5.34 | 1.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 5.34 | 5.20 | -2.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 5.32 | 5.18 | -0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 5.25 | 5.22 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 5.24 | 5.22 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 5.23 | 5.26 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 5.21 | 5.26 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 5.22 | 5.21 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 5.22 | 5.21 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 5.22 | 5.12 | -1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.27 | 2.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 5.21 | 5.10 | -3.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 5.18 | 5.10 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 5.16 | 5.10 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 5.14 | 5.10 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 5.14 | 5.00 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 5.08 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 5.06 | 5.03 | 0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 5.01 | -0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 5.04 | 5.05 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 5.03 | 5.14 | 1.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 5.08 | 5.14 | 0.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 5.10 | 5.07 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 5.10 | 5.27 | 3.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 5.14 | 5.01 | -4.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 5.12 | 5.01 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 5.10 | 5.03 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 5.08 | 4.70 | -6.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.08.2026 | 1 | 20.71 | 10.63 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 13.07 | 5.00 | -2.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 12.65 | 5.00 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 9.42 | 5.10 | 2.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |