Toplam Tahmin

1045

Doğru

577

Yanlış

468

Başarı Oranı

%55.22

ERCB - Erciyas Çelik Boru

Tahmin ID: #158645 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 36.5600 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 2.6100 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-2.95
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
28.09.2026 2.7060 TL %3.68
29.09.2026 2.8050 TL %3.66
30.09.2026 2.8367 TL %1.13
01.10.2026 2.7125 TL %-4.38
02.10.2026 2.5215 TL %-7.04
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
2 Gün %27.96 %209.39 186
3 Gün %24.32 %36.45 185
1 Gün %37.97 %43.68 187
4 Gün %25.54 %52.90 184
5 Gün %25.27 %43.65 182
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 82.00 72.00 -9.00 ❌ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 82.00 72.00 -8.86 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 77.33 69.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 75.00 69.00 -4.17 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 75.00 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 73.60 70.00 1.45 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 72.60 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 74.40 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 75.60 71.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 75.40 71.00 -4.05 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 74.60 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 73.40 70.00 -1.41 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 72.00 68.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 71.20 68.00 -2.86 ❌ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 70.20 68.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 69.80 68.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 69.40 69.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 69.20 69.00 1.47 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 69.00 72.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 69.00 72.00 4.35 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 69.40 71.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 69.80 71.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 70.00 69.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 70.20 69.00 -1.43 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 70.20 71.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 69.80 71.00 2.90 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 69.60 71.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 69.60 71.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 69.80 70.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 70.20 70.00 -1.41 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 70.40 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 70.40 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 70.40 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 70.20 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 70.00 71.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 70.00 71.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 70.00 71.00 1.43 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 70.00 71.00 1.43 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 70.20 69.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 70.40 69.00 -2.82 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 70.20 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 70.00 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 69.80 70.00 1.45 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 69.40 70.00 1.45 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 69.20 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 69.40 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 69.60 70.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 69.80 70.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 70.00 64.00 -9.00 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 70.00 64.00 -8.57 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 68.80 62.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 67.60 62.00 -3.13 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 66.00 62.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 64.40 62.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 62.80 62.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 62.40 62.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 62.00 63.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 62.00 63.00 1.61 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 62.20 64.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 62.40 64.00 1.59 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 62.80 64.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 63.20 64.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 62.40 58.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 61.40 58.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 60.80 58.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 60.00 58.00 -3.33 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 58.80 56.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 58.80 56.00 -3.45 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 58.40 56.00 -3.45 ✅ 0.45
26.02.2026 1 57.61 56.00 0.00 ✅ 0.45
27.02.2026 1 56.81 56.00 0.00 ✅ 0.45
02.03.2026 1 55.82 53.00 -5.36 ✅ 0.45
03.03.2026 1 54.63 52.00 -1.89 ✅ 0.45
04.03.2026 1 54.24 54.00 3.85 ✅ 0.45
05.03.2026 1 54.01 54.75 1.39 ✅ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 53.51 52.60 -1.59 ❌ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 53.61 52.60 -1.59 ❌ 0.45
09.03.2026 1 53.74 52.60 -1.59 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 53.46 54.40 3.42 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 53.03 54.40 3.42 ✅ 0.45
10.03.2026 1 53.23 54.40 3.42 ✅ 0.45
13.03.2026 1 53.24 53.35 -0.47 ❌ 0.45
16.03.2026 1 53.38 52.60 -1.41 ❌ 0.63
18.03.2026 1 53.47 51.70 -2.82 ✅ 0.65
19.03.2026 1 53.29 50.60 -2.13 ❌ 0.66
23.03.2026 1 52.70 50.80 0.40 ✅ 0.62
24.03.2026 1 52.15 49.92 -1.73 ❌ 0.63
25.03.2026 1 51.45 48.86 -2.12 ✅ 0.64
26.03.2026 1 50.59 47.90 -1.96 ❌ 0.63
27.03.2026 1 49.81 47.36 -1.13 ✅ 0.66
28.03.2026 1 48.98 48.24 1.86 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 48.29 48.24 1.86 ✅ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 47.78 48.24 1.86 ✅ 0.65
29.03.2026 1 47.48 48.24 1.86 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 47.37 48.24 1.86 ❌ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 47.37 48.24 1.86 ✅ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 47.55 49.22 2.03 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 47.91 51.40 4.43 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 48.71 56.50 9.92 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 50.52 58.00 2.65 ❌ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 52.64 57.30 -1.21 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 54.41 54.45 -4.97 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 55.45 55.90 2.66 ❌ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 56.34 56.60 1.25 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 56.38 56.35 -0.44 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 56.06 56.40 0.09 ✅ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 55.91 56.40 0.09 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 56.31 59.00 4.61 ❌ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 56.93 60.15 1.95 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 57.64 61.40 2.08 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 58.64 63.50 3.42 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 60.05 64.05 0.87 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 61.48 64.05 0.87 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 62.51 61.05 -4.68 ✅ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 62.69 59.00 -3.36 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 62.22 58.75 -0.42 ❌ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 61.34 58.75 -0.42 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 60.40 58.25 -0.85 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 59.26 56.55 -2.92 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 58.39 57.50 1.68 ✅ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 58.10 58.15 1.13 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 57.95 57.60 -0.95 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 57.82 57.60 -0.95 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 57.80 58.00 0.69 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 58.12 60.00 3.45 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 58.24 60.00 3.45 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 58.16 60.00 3.45 ❌ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 58.53 60.45 0.75 ✅ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 58.96 59.85 -0.99 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 59.28 62.15 3.84 ✅ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 60.10 62.75 0.97 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 60.58 59.55 -1.65 ✅ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 60.46 59.25 -0.50 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 60.21 57.00 -3.80 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 59.62 56.60 -0.70 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 58.56 56.60 -0.70 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 57.92 56.60 -0.70 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 57.37 52.60 -7.07 ❌ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 56.04 55.65 5.80 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 55.79 57.25 2.88 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 55.52 57.25 2.88 ✅ 0.67
01.06.2026 1 56.71 66.55 5.72 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 58.66 65.70 -1.28 ✅ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 60.77 62.90 -0.47 ✅ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 62.22 61.80 -1.75 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 63.45 63.20 2.27 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 63.52 59.95 -5.14 ❌ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 62.19 58.40 -2.59 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 61.27 58.05 -0.60 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 60.32 58.00 -0.09 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 59.57 59.15 1.98 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 58.77 58.85 -0.51 ❌ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 58.29 58.05 1.22 ✅ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 58.24 58.45 0.69 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 58.30 57.50 -1.63 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 58.18 56.85 -1.13 ✅ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 57.69 56.50 -0.62 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 57.55 50.85 -10.00 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 57.29 50.85 -10.00 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 55.77 48.78 -4.07 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 54.45 48.78 -4.07 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 52.83 49.76 2.01 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 51.44 48.64 -2.25 ❌ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 49.80 48.34 -0.62 ❌ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 49.32 53.15 9.95 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 49.78 49.60 -6.68 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 49.95 49.22 -0.77 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 49.90 49.22 -0.77 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 50.02 49.00 -0.45 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 50.14 47.72 -2.61 ❌ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 49.30 47.20 -1.09 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 48.83 48.06 1.82 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 48.53 47.60 -0.96 ✅ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 48.69 50.10 0.00 ❌ 0.60
17.07.2026 1 48.91 49.32 -1.56 ✅ 0.60
20.07.2026 1 48.95 49.70 0.77 ❌ 0.60
21.07.2026 1 49.36 49.58 -0.24 ✅ 0.60
22.07.2026 1 49.65 49.66 0.16 ❌ 0.60
23.07.2026 1 49.57 54.60 9.95 ❌ 0.60
24.07.2026 1 50.47 54.80 0.37 ❌ 0.60
27.07.2026 1 51.55 54.00 -1.46 ✅ 0.60
28.07.2026 1 52.64 52.35 -3.06 ❌ 0.60
29.07.2026 1 53.68 50.40 -3.72 ❌ 0.60
04.08.2026 1 51.24 48.22 -68.63 ✅ 0.60
05.08.2026 1 49.95 87.10 80.63 ✅ 0.60
06.08.2026 1 49.55 85.85 -1.44 ✅ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 49.11 86.35 0.58 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 48.68 86.35 0.58 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 48.24 86.35 0.58 ❌ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 48.20 76.40 -11.52 ✅ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 48.17 76.40 -11.52 ✅ 0.60
11.08.2026 1 53.77 85.90 12.43 ❌ 0.60
12.08.2026 1 61.00 48.12 -43.98 ✅ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 125.77 47.18 -69.50 ✅ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 155.70 47.18 -69.50 ✅ 0.60
26.08.2026 1 135.92 46.90 -0.59 ❌ 0.60
27.08.2026 1 112.41 46.64 -0.55 ❌ 0.60
02.09.2026 1 68.78 42.98 -1.74 ✅ 0.60
03.09.2026 1 46.50 5.45 -87.32 ✅ 0.60
04.09.2026 1 37.30 4.22 -22.57 ✅ 0.60
07.09.2026 1 28.48 4.32 2.37 ✅ 0.60
09.09.2026 1 28.45 22.48 -52.67 ✅ 0.60
10.09.2026 1 24.62 44.80 99.29 ❌ 0.60
11.09.2026 1 24.53 17.89 -60.07 ✅ 0.60
15.09.2026 1 52.05 42.38 -70.85 ✅ 0.60
17.09.2026 1 77.09 39.88 -71.51 ✅ 0.60
18.09.2026 1 75.45 37.36 -6.32 ✅ 0.60
21.09.2026 1 78.68 123.70 231.10 ✅ 0.60
23.09.2026 1 73.21 38.48 -69.14 ✅ 0.60
24.09.2026 1 54.61 3.20 -91.68 ✅ 0.60