Toplam Tahmin
1055
Doğru
607
Yanlış
448
Başarı Oranı
%57.54
ESEN - Esenboğa Elektrik
Tahmin ID: #158650 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 2.5300 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 2.6100 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-0.64
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 2.5997 TL | %-0.39 |
| 29.09.2026 | 2.5956 TL | %-0.16 |
| 30.09.2026 | 2.6038 TL | %0.32 |
| 01.10.2026 | 2.6006 TL | %-0.12 |
| 02.10.2026 | 2.5932 TL | %-0.29 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %42.02 | %45.35 | 188 |
| 4 Gün | %30.98 | %42.24 | 184 |
| 5 Gün | %25.68 | %35.71 | 183 |
| 3 Gün | %32.43 | %77.46 | 185 |
| 2 Gün | %38.30 | %50.41 | 188 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.67 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 7.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 4.00 | -9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 3.18 | 3.87 | 29.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 3.36 | 3.93 | 1.55 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.83 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.83 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.86 | 3.83 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.99 | 4.18 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.99 | 4.18 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.99 | 4.18 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 3.90 | 3.89 | -0.77 | ❌ | 0.46 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 3.91 | 3.86 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 3.93 | 3.95 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 3.96 | 3.99 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 3.95 | 4.08 | 2.26 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 3.96 | 3.99 | -2.21 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 3.98 | 3.93 | -1.50 | ✅ | 0.48 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 3.98 | 3.85 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.55 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.74 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.93 | 3.71 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.71 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.71 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.71 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 3.71 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 3.71 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 3.72 | 0.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 3.85 | 3.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 3.75 | 3.84 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 3.77 | 3.83 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 3.79 | 3.90 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.78 | -3.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 3.86 | 2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 3.94 | 2.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 3.86 | 4.00 | 1.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 3.89 | 4.13 | 3.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 3.91 | 4.13 | 3.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 3.98 | 4.12 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 4.03 | 4.17 | 1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 4.08 | 4.15 | -0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.28 | 3.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.16 | 4.31 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.31 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 4.23 | 4.74 | 9.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 4.26 | 4.27 | -9.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4.29 | 3.86 | -9.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 4.29 | 3.86 | -9.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 3.85 | -0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 3.75 | -2.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.71 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 3.89 | 3.73 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.69 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 3.69 | -1.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 3.74 | 1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 3.76 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 3.76 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 3.76 | 0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 3.74 | 3.84 | 2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 3.86 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.91 | 1.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 4.18 | 6.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 4.05 | 1.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 3.93 | 3.98 | -1.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 3.96 | 3.94 | -1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.91 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.91 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.91 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3.94 | 3.63 | -7.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.82 | 5.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.88 | 1.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.88 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.46 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 4.09 | 3.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 3.86 | 4.26 | 4.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 3.95 | 4.02 | -1.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 3.99 | 3.93 | -2.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 4.01 | 3.90 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 4.01 | 3.82 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 3.95 | 3.77 | -1.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 3.89 | 3.69 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.74 | 1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 3.79 | 3.85 | 2.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.81 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 3.80 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 3.77 | 3.89 | 2.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 3.81 | 3.94 | 1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.84 | -2.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.76 | -2.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.86 | 3.72 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.72 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 3.71 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.79 | 3.71 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 3.77 | 3.67 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 3.73 | 3.65 | -0.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.67 | -0.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.72 | 1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.66 | -1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.66 | -1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 3.65 | -0.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.53 | -3.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 3.66 | 3.50 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.53 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3.57 | 3.49 | -1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.57 | 1.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.51 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.52 | 0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.50 | -0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 3.53 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 3.52 | -0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 3.53 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 5.60 | 58.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 5.42 | -3.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 5.29 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 3.88 | 5.15 | -2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 4.23 | 5.33 | 3.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 4.58 | 5.17 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 3.36 | -35.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 4.90 | 5.32 | 58.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 4.52 | 5.27 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 5.23 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 3.75 | 5.23 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 3.37 | 5.23 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 4.58 | 3.49 | -86.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 8.68 | 3.63 | -86.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 8.65 | 3.37 | -5.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 10.36 | 3.35 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 6.61 | 3.09 | -34.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 6.18 | 4.50 | 45.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 4.58 | 1.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 4.04 | 4.56 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.09.2026 | 1 | 4.30 | 2.81 | -38.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.09.2026 | 1 | 3.91 | 3.20 | 13.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |