Toplam Tahmin

1035

Doğru

520

Yanlış

515

Başarı Oranı

%50.24

GARAN - Garanti Bankası

Tahmin ID: #158670 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 128.4000 TL


Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 4.5200 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-10.98
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
28.09.2026 4.7099 TL %4.20
29.09.2026 4.8103 TL %2.13
30.09.2026 4.7544 TL %-1.16
01.10.2026 4.2789 TL %-10.00
02.10.2026 4.0157 TL %-6.15
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
4 Gün %31.89 %119.34 185
1 Gün %39.15 %203.17 189
3 Gün %31.72 %146.66 186
5 Gün %27.57 %153.71 185
2 Gün %36.17 %166.22 188
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 140.00 141.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 140.00 141.00 1.44 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 141.33 142.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 142.00 142.00 0.71 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 141.60 143.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 141.60 143.00 0.70 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 143.20 149.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 144.00 149.00 4.20 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 145.60 146.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 148.00 146.00 -2.67 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 149.60 145.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 149.60 145.00 -0.68 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 149.40 145.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 148.40 145.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 147.40 145.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 147.20 145.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 147.00 147.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 147.00 147.00 1.38 ✅ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 147.40 146.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
14.01.2026 1 147.80 146.00 -0.68 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 147.20 148.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 146.60 148.00 2.78 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 146.40 151.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 145.80 151.00 3.42 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 146.00 148.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 147.20 148.00 -1.99 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 148.00 151.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 148.40 151.00 2.03 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 149.40 150.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 149.60 150.00 -0.66 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 149.60 147.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 150.00 147.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 149.80 150.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 149.00 150.00 2.04 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 148.80 157.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 148.80 157.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 148.80 157.00 4.67 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 149.40 157.00 4.67 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 151.40 161.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 152.80 161.00 2.55 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 155.00 160.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 157.20 160.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 159.40 160.00 -0.62 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 160.20 160.00 -0.62 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 160.80 165.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 160.60 165.00 3.13 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 161.20 161.00 -2.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 161.80 161.00 -2.42 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 161.80 154.00 -4.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 162.00 154.00 -4.35 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 160.80 154.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 158.80 154.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 156.80 157.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 155.40 157.00 1.95 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 155.80 160.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 157.60 160.00 -1.84 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 158.80 161.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 160.00 161.00 0.63 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 161.40 159.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
17.02.2026 1 161.00 159.00 -1.24 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 159.40 157.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 158.40 157.00 1.29 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 158.00 159.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 157.40 159.00 0.63 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 157.00 160.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 157.80 160.00 0.63 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 158.81 160.00 0.63 ✅ 0.67
26.02.2026 1 159.82 163.00 1.88 ✅ 0.67
27.02.2026 1 160.24 160.00 -1.84 ✅ 0.67
02.03.2026 1 157.67 146.00 -8.75 ✅ 0.68
03.03.2026 1 153.33 137.00 -6.16 ✅ 0.68
04.03.2026 1 149.10 138.60 1.17 ✅ 0.67
05.03.2026 1 144.59 140.20 1.15 ✅ 0.67
09.03.2026 1 139.72 135.90 0.30 ✅ 0.67
09.03.2026 1 137.64 135.90 0.30 ✅ 0.67
09.03.2026 1 137.43 135.90 0.30 ✅ 0.67
10.03.2026 1 136.89 141.10 3.83 ✅ 0.67
10.03.2026 1 136.04 141.10 3.83 ✅ 0.67
10.03.2026 1 137.20 141.10 3.83 ✅ 0.67
13.03.2026 1 137.64 132.80 -3.70 ❌ 0.68
16.03.2026 1 136.95 134.10 0.98 ✅ 0.65
18.03.2026 1 137.43 135.80 -1.95 ❌ 0.67
19.03.2026 1 137.33 135.10 -0.52 ✅ 0.65
23.03.2026 1 136.21 134.30 -0.59 ❌ 0.67
24.03.2026 1 135.46 130.00 -3.20 ✅ 0.67
25.03.2026 1 135.73 130.40 0.31 ✅ 0.69
26.03.2026 1 134.08 126.70 -2.84 ✅ 0.73
27.03.2026 1 132.27 126.50 -0.16 ❌ 0.70
28.03.2026 1 130.42 125.50 -0.79 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 128.90 125.50 -0.79 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 127.39 125.50 -0.79 ❌ 0.73
29.03.2026 1 126.62 125.50 -0.79 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 126.57 125.50 -0.79 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 126.57 125.50 -0.79 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 126.31 126.50 0.80 ❌ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 126.26 128.80 1.82 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 126.72 131.30 1.94 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 127.71 132.20 0.69 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 128.80 135.60 2.57 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 130.81 127.10 -6.27 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 131.02 137.50 8.18 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 132.75 136.70 -0.58 ✅ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 133.76 140.40 2.71 ❌ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 135.45 138.70 -1.21 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 136.43 138.70 -1.21 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 138.71 140.00 0.94 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 139.18 138.80 -0.86 ✅ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 139.65 137.00 -1.30 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 138.93 146.40 6.86 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 140.09 144.00 -1.64 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 141.62 144.00 -1.64 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 142.47 141.80 -1.53 ✅ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 143.07 139.40 -1.69 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 143.59 138.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 142.28 138.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 140.59 136.70 -0.94 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 139.21 134.60 -1.54 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 137.81 132.70 -1.41 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 136.46 133.80 0.83 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 135.34 129.60 -3.14 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 134.52 129.60 -3.14 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 133.89 129.40 -0.15 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 133.72 136.60 5.56 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 133.03 136.60 5.56 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 133.04 136.60 5.56 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 133.56 137.60 0.73 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 134.33 137.30 -0.22 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 134.98 138.20 0.66 ❌ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 136.74 133.40 -3.47 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 136.79 133.70 1.67 ✅ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 136.26 129.80 -2.92 ❌ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 134.68 129.30 -0.39 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 133.11 129.80 0.39 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 131.34 129.80 0.39 ✅ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 130.35 129.80 0.39 ❌ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 129.43 120.00 -7.55 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 127.43 122.30 1.92 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 126.09 125.20 2.37 ✅ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 124.69 125.20 2.37 ✅ 0.53
30.05.2026 1 123.43 123.10 0.16 ✅ 0.53
01.06.2026 1 122.15 123.10 0.16 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 122.80 128.80 4.63 ✅ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 123.41 129.50 2.86 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 124.82 125.00 -3.47 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 125.21 129.30 3.44 ❌ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 126.45 130.40 0.85 ❌ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 127.90 128.20 -1.69 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 128.39 129.00 0.62 ❌ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 128.31 135.90 5.35 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 130.47 141.00 3.75 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 132.82 140.20 -0.57 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 134.90 144.00 2.13 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 138.00 143.70 -0.21 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 140.95 143.70 0.00 ❌ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 142.59 140.70 -2.09 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 142.57 140.40 -0.21 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 142.57 137.60 -1.99 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 142.01 137.60 -1.99 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 140.82 138.40 0.58 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 139.59 138.40 0.58 ✅ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 139.12 137.30 -0.79 ❌ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 138.43 138.00 0.51 ✅ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 137.90 138.50 0.36 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 138.07 138.60 0.07 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 138.23 133.50 -3.68 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 137.25 133.70 0.15 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 136.49 133.70 0.15 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 135.60 134.40 0.52 ✅ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 134.63 130.40 -2.98 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 133.00 130.10 -0.23 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 132.32 129.00 -0.85 ❌ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 131.41 126.70 -1.78 ✅ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 130.47 128.70 -0.16 ❌ 0.60
17.07.2026 1 129.52 126.80 -1.48 ❌ 0.60
20.07.2026 1 128.79 124.30 -1.97 ❌ 0.60
21.07.2026 1 127.63 124.20 -0.08 ❌ 0.60
22.07.2026 1 126.67 125.90 1.37 ❌ 0.60
23.07.2026 1 125.71 125.00 -0.71 ✅ 0.60
24.07.2026 1 124.92 126.00 0.80 ✅ 0.60
27.07.2026 1 124.75 127.10 0.87 ❌ 0.60
28.07.2026 1 125.08 127.40 0.24 ❌ 0.60
29.07.2026 1 125.46 126.30 -0.86 ✅ 0.60
04.08.2026 1 126.29 131.80 772.85 ✅ 0.60
24.08.2026 1 55.39 131.60 1.31 ✅ 0.60
27.08.2026 1 110.41 133.00 -0.23 ❌ 0.60
02.09.2026 1 84.60 132.00 1374.86 ❌ 0.60
04.09.2026 1 99.14 131.40 73.69 ❌ 0.60
07.09.2026 1 95.07 133.50 1.60 ❌ 0.60
09.09.2026 1 70.67 134.30 1535.81 ✅ 0.60
10.09.2026 1 96.20 133.40 -0.67 ❌ 0.60
11.09.2026 1 94.33 134.20 0.60 ❌ 0.60
17.09.2026 1 95.30 132.50 77.50 ✅ 0.60
18.09.2026 1 120.40 129.90 -1.96 ❌ 0.60
21.09.2026 1 118.81 133.10 2.46 ❌ 0.60
22.09.2026 1 118.47 133.90 0.60 ❌ 0.60