Toplam Tahmin
1045
Doğru
635
Yanlış
410
Başarı Oranı
%60.77
GEDIK - Gedik Yatırım
Tahmin ID: #158673 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 5.0300 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 11.8100 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %5.33
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 25.09.2026 | 12.7733 TL | %8.16 |
| 28.09.2026 | 12.1562 TL | %-4.83 |
| 29.09.2026 | 11.6234 TL | %-4.38 |
| 30.09.2026 | 12.0091 TL | %3.32 |
| 01.10.2026 | 12.3777 TL | %3.07 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Gün | %33.15 | %257.57 | 184 |
| 4 Gün | %30.98 | %126.58 | 184 |
| 2 Gün | %34.22 | %203.49 | 187 |
| 3 Gün | %32.26 | %170.56 | 186 |
| 1 Gün | %43.39 | %105.93 | 189 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 6.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.60 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 5.20 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 5.09 | 5.42 | 8.40 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 5.18 | 5.48 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 5.28 | 5.46 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 5.38 | 5.46 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.51 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 5.47 | 5.46 | -0.37 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.48 | 5.67 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.48 | 5.67 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 5.51 | 5.67 | 3.85 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 5.53 | 5.63 | 1.26 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 5.56 | 5.39 | -4.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 5.54 | 5.37 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.64 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 5.52 | 5.35 | -0.37 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 5.46 | 5.37 | 0.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 5.43 | 5.22 | -2.79 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 5.35 | 5.24 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 5.32 | 5.18 | -1.15 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 5.28 | 5.33 | 2.90 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 5.27 | 5.35 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 5.26 | 5.35 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 5.29 | 5.35 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 5.30 | 5.35 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 5.33 | 5.35 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 5.34 | 5.35 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 5.34 | 5.33 | -0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 5.34 | 5.45 | 2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 5.36 | 5.41 | -0.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 5.38 | 5.42 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 5.39 | 5.43 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 5.41 | 5.19 | -4.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 5.38 | 5.53 | 6.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 5.39 | 5.42 | -1.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 5.39 | 5.60 | 3.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 5.43 | 5.49 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 5.46 | 5.49 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 5.52 | 5.60 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 5.54 | 5.68 | 1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 5.59 | 5.82 | 2.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 5.64 | 5.98 | 2.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 5.71 | 5.92 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 5.81 | 5.92 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 5.87 | 5.83 | -1.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 5.90 | 5.88 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 5.91 | 5.90 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 5.89 | 5.90 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 5.88 | 5.92 | 0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 5.88 | 5.73 | -3.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 5.86 | 5.77 | 0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 5.84 | 5.71 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 5.81 | 5.51 | -3.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 5.77 | 5.51 | -3.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 5.73 | 5.50 | -0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 5.69 | 5.68 | 3.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 5.68 | 3.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 5.68 | 3.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 5.73 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 5.78 | 0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 5.73 | 5.92 | 2.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 5.77 | 6.03 | 1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 5.78 | 6.35 | 9.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 5.92 | 6.98 | 9.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 6.17 | 7.67 | 9.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 6.55 | 6.91 | -9.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 6.90 | 6.91 | -9.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 7.27 | 6.91 | -9.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 7.38 | 6.22 | -9.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 7.22 | 6.12 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 6.32 | 6.31 | 2.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 6.21 | 6.81 | 7.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 6.24 | 6.34 | -0.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 6.41 | 6.97 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 6.61 | 7.19 | 3.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 6.85 | 7.19 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 7.08 | 6.95 | -3.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 7.28 | 7.43 | 6.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 7.36 | 7.09 | -4.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 7.36 | 7.13 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 7.34 | 7.06 | -0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 7.20 | 6.63 | -3.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 7.06 | 6.74 | 1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 6.93 | 6.67 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 6.84 | 6.70 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 6.75 | 7.37 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 6.72 | 7.40 | 0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 6.73 | 7.40 | 0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 6.86 | 7.08 | -4.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 7.00 | 7.08 | -4.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 7.07 | 7.34 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 7.19 | 6.86 | -6.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 7.21 | 6.99 | 1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 7.14 | 7.68 | 9.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 7.19 | 7.38 | -3.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 7.24 | 7.10 | -3.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 7.25 | 7.10 | -3.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 7.30 | 7.17 | 0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 7.32 | 7.13 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 7.21 | 7.24 | 1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 7.19 | 7.15 | -1.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 7.16 | 6.89 | -3.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 7.07 | 6.76 | 1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 7.01 | 6.51 | -3.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 6.88 | 6.82 | 4.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 6.80 | 7.03 | 3.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 6.76 | 6.77 | -3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 6.78 | 6.66 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 6.76 | 6.62 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 6.78 | 6.44 | -2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 6.74 | 6.35 | -1.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 6.66 | 6.40 | 0.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 6.59 | 1.78 | -72.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 6.53 | 1.79 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 6.49 | 1.73 | -3.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 6.45 | 6.32 | 265.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 6.39 | 3.88 | -38.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 6.37 | 3.89 | 0.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 6.36 | 3.97 | 2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 6.34 | 3.97 | 2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 6.33 | 3.97 | 2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.08.2026 | 1 | 22.76 | 6.53 | -35.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 5.59 | 6.04 | -4.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 5.62 | 5.70 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |