Toplam Tahmin
1055
Doğru
576
Yanlış
479
Başarı Oranı
%54.60
INTEM - İntema
Tahmin ID: #158730 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 198.9000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 10.6100 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %2.65
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 10.9100 TL | %2.83 |
| 29.09.2026 | 10.8008 TL | %-1.00 |
| 30.09.2026 | 11.0724 TL | %2.51 |
| 01.10.2026 | 11.1929 TL | %1.09 |
| 02.10.2026 | 10.8813 TL | %-2.78 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %31.38 | %584.14 | 188 |
| 2 Gün | %31.91 | %448.60 | 188 |
| 5 Gün | %32.24 | %248.53 | 183 |
| 4 Gün | %30.43 | %989.26 | 184 |
| 3 Gün | %35.48 | %301.44 | 186 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 261.00 | 282.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 261.00 | 282.00 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 261.33 | 277.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 261.50 | 277.00 | -1.77 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 263.40 | 276.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 265.40 | 276.00 | -0.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 267.00 | 276.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 268.40 | 276.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 273.40 | 284.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 276.60 | 284.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 280.00 | 280.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 283.80 | 280.00 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 286.60 | 278.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 285.80 | 278.00 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 284.60 | 275.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 283.20 | 275.00 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 281.20 | 274.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 280.20 | 274.00 | -0.36 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 279.00 | 277.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 278.20 | 277.00 | 1.09 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 279.80 | 299.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 282.00 | 299.00 | 3.10 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 285.20 | 300.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 288.60 | 300.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 293.00 | 306.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 295.00 | 306.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 298.60 | 337.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 301.20 | 337.00 | 10.13 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 310.00 | 341.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 317.80 | 341.00 | 1.19 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 326.00 | 331.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 332.60 | 331.00 | -2.93 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 337.00 | 364.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 335.20 | 364.00 | 9.97 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 340.40 | 355.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 345.20 | 355.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 350.00 | 355.00 | -2.47 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 357.00 | 355.00 | -2.47 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 362.00 | 352.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 360.00 | 352.00 | -0.85 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 357.60 | 374.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 355.20 | 374.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 352.80 | 374.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 352.40 | 374.00 | 6.25 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 356.40 | 365.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 360.80 | 365.00 | -2.41 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 363.40 | 401.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 366.00 | 401.00 | 9.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 375.80 | 379.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 381.20 | 379.00 | -5.49 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 382.20 | 385.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 385.00 | 385.00 | 1.58 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 389.00 | 397.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 385.60 | 397.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 382.20 | 397.00 | 3.12 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 383.40 | 397.00 | 3.12 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 386.80 | 390.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 10.02.2026 | 1 | 389.00 | 390.00 | -1.76 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 394.60 | 403.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 400.20 | 403.00 | -2.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 452.49 | 407.00 | -10.15 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 430.83 | 367.00 | -9.83 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 401.83 | 330.00 | -10.08 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 370.71 | 297.75 | -9.77 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 345.78 | 327.50 | 9.99 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 323.48 | 271.00 | -8.06 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 309.14 | 271.00 | -8.06 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 297.43 | 271.00 | -8.06 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 292.14 | 281.50 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 280.90 | 281.50 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 278.35 | 281.50 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 272.95 | 264.50 | -1.12 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 271.70 | 262.00 | -0.95 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 271.08 | 267.00 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 270.16 | 267.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 267.16 | 274.25 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 268.45 | 268.50 | -2.10 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 269.09 | 269.50 | 0.37 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 269.27 | 263.00 | -2.41 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 269.79 | 266.00 | 1.14 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 269.60 | 261.00 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 267.99 | 261.00 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 267.56 | 261.00 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 266.91 | 261.00 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 266.21 | 261.00 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 266.11 | 261.00 | -1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 265.01 | 287.00 | 9.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 269.14 | 271.75 | -5.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 270.31 | 271.00 | -0.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 271.19 | 273.75 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 272.72 | 274.25 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 275.41 | 265.75 | -3.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 271.21 | 275.00 | 3.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 271.88 | 277.00 | 0.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 273.24 | 282.25 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 275.03 | 275.50 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 276.70 | 275.50 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 278.61 | 279.00 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 279.33 | 285.00 | 2.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 280.90 | 282.50 | -0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 280.88 | 297.50 | 5.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 283.90 | 293.75 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 288.33 | 293.75 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 291.32 | 296.00 | 0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 293.51 | 290.00 | -2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 295.07 | 291.50 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 293.61 | 291.50 | 0.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 292.43 | 293.50 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 292.43 | 287.00 | -2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 290.67 | 285.75 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 289.80 | 288.50 | 0.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 289.43 | 283.00 | -1.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 288.79 | 283.00 | -1.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 287.76 | 281.00 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 286.50 | 290.75 | 3.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 287.04 | 290.75 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 287.04 | 290.75 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 287.77 | 294.25 | 1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 288.67 | 293.75 | -0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 291.24 | 297.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 292.86 | 300.00 | 1.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 295.58 | 310.00 | 2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 299.01 | 299.75 | -3.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 300.18 | 285.50 | -4.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 298.39 | 293.25 | 2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 296.30 | 293.25 | 2.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 293.20 | 293.25 | 2.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 290.01 | 264.00 | -9.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 283.06 | 279.75 | 5.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 282.03 | 280.50 | 0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 280.59 | 280.50 | 0.27 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 278.98 | 280.00 | 0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 276.29 | 282.00 | 0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 278.69 | 270.25 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 276.82 | 270.50 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 275.12 | 269.50 | -0.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 273.28 | 267.00 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 270.67 | 261.00 | -2.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 267.61 | 258.00 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 265.16 | 261.50 | 1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 263.40 | 268.00 | 2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 263.12 | 263.50 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 262.24 | 267.50 | 1.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 263.52 | 264.00 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 264.68 | 263.25 | -0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 265.00 | 261.25 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 263.66 | 255.00 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 263.38 | 254.50 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 262.17 | 254.50 | -0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 260.29 | 253.25 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 258.55 | 253.25 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 256.95 | 256.00 | 1.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 255.37 | 252.50 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 253.61 | 268.75 | 6.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 256.44 | 265.00 | -1.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 258.49 | 275.00 | 3.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 262.78 | 270.50 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 267.07 | 270.50 | -1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 270.64 | 271.00 | 0.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 271.10 | 257.00 | -5.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 272.33 | 257.75 | 0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 268.94 | 263.00 | 2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 266.62 | 261.25 | -0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 264.72 | 269.75 | 3.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 264.45 | 263.00 | -2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 262.84 | 269.50 | 2.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 265.16 | 264.00 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 265.34 | 258.25 | -2.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 264.83 | 259.75 | 0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 262.88 | 256.00 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 261.50 | 252.25 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 258.82 | 243.20 | -3.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 257.23 | 241.70 | -0.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 244.68 | 246.80 | 403.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.08.2026 | 1 | 197.70 | 255.00 | 25147.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.08.2026 | 1 | 106.75 | 258.50 | 4988.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 78.62 | 254.00 | 7837.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 125.84 | 263.00 | 3.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 132.56 | 263.50 | 0.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 205.08 | 260.00 | 24428.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 203.69 | 258.50 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 197.68 | 250.50 | -2.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 158.05 | 379.00 | 607.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 130.27 | 248.40 | 20600.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.09.2026 | 1 | 126.42 | 221.80 | -11.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 161.76 | 247.60 | 11.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 186.44 | 229.40 | -3.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 225.47 | 224.00 | 2.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 219.97 | 213.50 | -4.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 217.36 | 213.00 | -0.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 214.47 | 214.90 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |