Toplam Tahmin
1045
Doğru
638
Yanlış
407
Başarı Oranı
%61.05
KONKA - Konya Kağıt
Tahmin ID: #158774 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 6.9200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 14.7000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %13.97
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 14.7836 TL | %0.57 |
| 29.09.2026 | 14.9940 TL | %1.42 |
| 30.09.2026 | 15.7837 TL | %5.27 |
| 01.10.2026 | 17.0547 TL | %8.05 |
| 02.10.2026 | 16.8263 TL | %-1.34 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %44.39 | %21.54 | 187 |
| 4 Gün | %29.51 | %34.69 | 183 |
| 1 Gün | %49.73 | %17.54 | 187 |
| 5 Gün | %25.27 | %20.93 | 182 |
| 3 Gün | %32.97 | %33.21 | 185 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 14.33 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 14.50 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 15.00 | 7.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 15.00 | 16.00 | 6.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 16.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 16.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 15.80 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 15.60 | 15.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 15.40 | 14.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 15.20 | 14.00 | -6.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 14.80 | 14.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 14.60 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 14.40 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 14.00 | 14.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 13.00 | -7.14 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 13.80 | 14.00 | 7.69 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 13.85 | 14.25 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 13.95 | 14.51 | 1.82 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.05 | 15.26 | 5.46 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.34 | 15.26 | 5.46 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 14.59 | 15.26 | 5.46 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 14.79 | 15.54 | 1.83 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 14.94 | 15.54 | 1.83 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 15.15 | 15.54 | 1.83 | ✅ | 0.70 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 15.65 | 16.93 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 15.99 | 15.76 | -6.91 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 16.16 | 15.37 | -4.47 | ❌ | 0.70 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 16.19 | 15.15 | -1.43 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 16.15 | 15.01 | -0.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 15.76 | 14.65 | -2.40 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 15.29 | 14.59 | -0.41 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 14.99 | 14.59 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 14.84 | 15.50 | 6.24 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.87 | 16.10 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 14.97 | 16.10 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 15.14 | 16.10 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 15.32 | 16.10 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 15.51 | 16.10 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 15.51 | 16.10 | 3.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 15.63 | 16.30 | 1.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 15.79 | 15.95 | -2.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 15.87 | 16.25 | 1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 16.02 | 16.15 | -0.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 16.14 | 16.59 | 2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 16.24 | 15.82 | -4.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 16.14 | 16.30 | 3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 16.21 | 15.81 | -3.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 16.12 | 16.08 | 1.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 16.10 | 15.46 | -3.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 15.46 | -3.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 15.93 | 16.05 | 3.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 15.89 | 16.33 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 16.00 | 16.18 | -0.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 16.02 | 16.52 | 2.10 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 16.11 | 16.70 | 1.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 16.32 | 16.70 | 1.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 16.44 | 17.17 | 2.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 16.61 | 17.29 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 16.82 | 17.64 | 2.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 16.97 | 17.64 | 2.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 17.20 | 17.66 | 0.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 17.39 | 17.09 | -3.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 17.38 | 16.94 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 17.31 | 16.90 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 17.23 | 16.20 | -4.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 17.09 | 16.20 | -4.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 16.94 | 16.15 | -0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 11.07 | 16.55 | 508.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 11.01 | 16.72 | 1.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 11.11 | 16.00 | -4.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 10.73 | 15.13 | 1.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 13.22 | 14.75 | -2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 15.61 | 14.23 | -3.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 15.15 | 14.62 | 2.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 14.66 | 14.62 | 2.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 14.53 | 14.62 | 2.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 14.42 | 13.72 | -6.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 14.22 | 14.35 | 4.59 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 14.24 | 14.57 | 1.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 14.25 | 14.57 | 1.53 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 14.32 | 14.81 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 14.36 | 15.33 | 3.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 14.61 | 15.00 | 0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 14.74 | 14.94 | -0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 14.87 | 14.89 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 14.91 | 14.80 | -0.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 14.91 | 14.76 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 14.88 | 14.00 | -5.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 14.68 | 13.99 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 14.49 | 14.47 | 3.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 14.41 | 15.77 | 8.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 14.45 | 15.08 | 0.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 14.51 | 15.03 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 14.71 | 14.86 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 14.88 | 14.67 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 14.92 | 14.20 | -3.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 14.84 | 14.53 | 2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 14.77 | 14.53 | 2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 14.67 | 14.28 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 14.61 | 14.28 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 14.53 | 14.18 | -0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 14.44 | 14.23 | 0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 14.35 | 14.42 | 1.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 14.33 | 14.43 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 14.31 | 14.99 | 3.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 14.45 | 14.51 | -3.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 14.61 | 14.51 | -3.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 14.67 | 14.56 | 0.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 14.69 | 13.94 | -4.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 14.71 | 13.27 | -4.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 14.50 | 13.46 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 14.20 | 13.00 | -3.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 13.91 | 13.36 | 2.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 13.68 | 13.48 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 13.47 | 13.69 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 13.42 | 13.28 | -2.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 13.38 | 13.12 | -1.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 13.39 | 13.04 | -0.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 13.33 | 13.17 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 13.27 | 13.07 | -0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 13.16 | 12.96 | -0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 13.14 | 12.01 | -7.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 10.70 | 9.70 | 78.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 9.38 | 9.61 | -0.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 8.06 | 8.90 | -7.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 6.74 | 8.90 | -7.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 5.42 | 8.90 | -7.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 5.42 | 9.49 | 6.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 5.41 | 9.49 | 6.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.08.2026 | 1 | 6.05 | 11.55 | 116.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.08.2026 | 1 | 7.25 | 12.40 | 7.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 7.66 | 12.03 | -2.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.08.2026 | 1 | 8.87 | 11.88 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 10.31 | 11.81 | -0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 11.59 | 11.97 | 1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 11.78 | 11.71 | -2.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 23.00 | 20.08 | -70.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 24.69 | 11.34 | -43.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 24.46 | 10.14 | -9.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.09.2026 | 1 | 27.36 | 8.89 | -61.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 15.81 | 9.18 | 3.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 13.64 | 9.25 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 16.20 | 9.52 | -60.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 13.08 | 8.83 | -2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |