Toplam Tahmin
1045
Doğru
622
Yanlış
423
Başarı Oranı
%59.52
LIDFA - Lider Faktoring
Tahmin ID: #158798 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 1.5300 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 2,000.0000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-7.57
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 1,800.0000 TL | %-10.00 |
| 29.09.2026 | 1,912.1702 TL | %6.23 |
| 30.09.2026 | 1,803.0244 TL | %-5.71 |
| 01.10.2026 | 1,926.4801 TL | %6.85 |
| 02.10.2026 | 1,831.3772 TL | %-4.94 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %33.88 | %85.48 | 183 |
| 5 Gün | %26.92 | %636.28 | 182 |
| 1 Gün | %47.06 | %441.47 | 187 |
| 3 Gün | %30.27 | %500.03 | 185 |
| 2 Gün | %33.33 | %91.64 | 186 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 2.00 | -47.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 2.00 | -50.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 14.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 2.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 50.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.00 | -5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.00 | -33.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 50.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 3.02 | 3.10 | 3.33 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 3.06 | 3.18 | 2.58 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.06 | 3.06 | 2.34 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.06 | 3.06 | 2.34 | ✅ | 0.73 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 3.07 | 3.06 | 2.34 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.06 | 3.17 | 3.59 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.04 | 3.17 | 3.59 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.07 | 3.17 | 3.59 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 3.10 | 3.16 | 0.64 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 3.12 | 3.27 | 3.48 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.63 | 4.31 | ❌ | 0.74 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 3.31 | 3.58 | -1.38 | ✅ | 0.65 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.51 | -1.96 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 3.48 | 3.60 | 2.56 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 3.57 | 3.56 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 3.58 | 3.46 | -2.81 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.66 | 5.78 | ✅ | 0.75 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.69 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.59 | 3.69 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.69 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.62 | 3.69 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.69 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.69 | 0.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 3.66 | 3.60 | -2.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 3.65 | 3.63 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.80 | 4.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.52 | -1.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 3.75 | 3.52 | -1.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 3.79 | 3.58 | 1.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 3.81 | 3.59 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.60 | 0.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 3.77 | 3.66 | 1.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.73 | 1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 3.70 | 3.73 | 1.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 3.75 | 3.65 | -2.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 3.71 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 3.79 | 3.54 | -4.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.54 | -4.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 3.77 | 3.35 | -5.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 3.64 | 3.28 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.33 | 1.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 3.44 | 3.32 | -0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 3.33 | 3.38 | 1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 3.28 | 3.38 | 1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 3.57 | 3.41 | -2.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 3.27 | -4.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.46 | 3.17 | -3.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 3.37 | 3.17 | -3.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 3.34 | 3.17 | -3.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3.28 | 2.85 | -10.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3.17 | 2.97 | 4.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3.11 | 3.03 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3.05 | 3.03 | 2.02 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 2.99 | 2.97 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 2.95 | 2.99 | 0.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 2.97 | 2.96 | -0.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 2.97 | 2.96 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 2.97 | 2.91 | -1.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 2.95 | 2.83 | -2.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 2.92 | 2.83 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 2.89 | 2.82 | -0.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 2.87 | 2.83 | 0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 2.84 | 2.94 | 3.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 2.85 | 3.05 | 3.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 2.89 | 3.30 | 9.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 2.98 | 3.17 | -3.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 3.05 | 3.33 | 5.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 3.15 | 3.19 | -4.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.19 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.24 | 3.09 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.21 | 3.09 | -3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.12 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.15 | 3.12 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 3.14 | 3.00 | -3.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 3.10 | 2.93 | -2.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3.05 | 2.95 | 0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3.02 | 2.93 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 2.99 | 2.97 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 2.96 | 2.91 | -2.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 2.95 | 2.91 | -2.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 2.95 | 2.85 | -2.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 2.93 | 2.78 | -2.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 2.90 | 2.79 | 0.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 2.86 | 2.80 | 0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 2.83 | 2.74 | -2.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 2.80 | 2.87 | 3.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 2.81 | 2.92 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 2.83 | 3.04 | 4.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 2.88 | 3.00 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 2.92 | 3.05 | 1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 2.97 | 3.01 | -1.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 2.99 | 3.00 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 3.01 | 2.89 | -3.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.85 | -1.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.79 | -2.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.73 | -2.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.77 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.82 | 1.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 2.79 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 2.96 | 2.55 | -8.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 2.92 | 2.51 | -1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 2.88 | 2.49 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 2.83 | 2.49 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 2.79 | 2.49 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 2.79 | 2.72 | 9.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 2.79 | 2.72 | 9.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 7.90 | 2.67 | -83.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 5.52 | 2.65 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 5.49 | 2.67 | 0.75 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 5.48 | 2.00 | -25.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 5.47 | 2.00 | -25.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 2.56 | 2.71 | 35.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 2.63 | 2.67 | -2.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 6.04 | 2.59 | -86.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.09.2026 | 1 | 6.00 | 2.55 | -1.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 6.10 | 2.58 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 6.03 | 2.61 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 1.98 | 1.65 | 2.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 1.84 | 1.63 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.09.2026 | 1 | 1.69 | 1.64 | 0.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |