Toplam Tahmin
1030
Doğru
642
Yanlış
388
Başarı Oranı
%62.33
MEKAG - Meka Beton
Tahmin ID: #158824 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 2.0500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 1.3300 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %11.22
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 1.3518 TL | %1.64 |
| 29.09.2026 | 1.3824 TL | %2.26 |
| 30.09.2026 | 1.3616 TL | %-1.51 |
| 01.10.2026 | 1.3744 TL | %0.94 |
| 02.10.2026 | 1.4828 TL | %7.89 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %23.08 | %61.04 | 182 |
| 3 Gün | %33.33 | %55.99 | 183 |
| 2 Gün | %32.07 | %53.58 | 184 |
| 1 Gün | %37.30 | %51.35 | 185 |
| 5 Gün | %21.67 | %87.05 | 180 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.67 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | -8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 17.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 6.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 8.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 5.19 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 5.19 | 5.00 | -16.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 5.18 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 5.37 | 6.00 | 20.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 5.55 | 6.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 17.81 | 6.70 | -89.86 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 18.15 | 7.42 | 9.93 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 18.44 | 7.42 | 9.93 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 18.72 | 7.55 | 1.75 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 7.08 | 7.55 | 1.75 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 7.25 | 7.55 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 7.39 | 7.03 | -5.89 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 7.32 | 7.00 | -0.43 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 7.20 | 6.71 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.53 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 7.08 | 6.72 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 6.94 | 7.39 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 6.95 | 7.83 | 5.95 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 7.12 | 7.95 | 1.53 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 7.36 | 7.60 | -4.40 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 7.54 | 7.25 | -4.61 | ❌ | 0.53 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 7.64 | 7.20 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 7.61 | 7.20 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 7.50 | 7.20 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 7.36 | 7.20 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 7.29 | 7.20 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 7.30 | 7.20 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 7.28 | 7.08 | -1.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 7.24 | 7.32 | 3.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 7.25 | 7.21 | -1.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 7.24 | 7.07 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 7.19 | 7.31 | 3.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 7.22 | 6.96 | -4.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 7.18 | 7.28 | 4.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 7.17 | 6.56 | -9.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 7.04 | 5.99 | -8.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 6.83 | 5.40 | -9.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 6.56 | 5.40 | -9.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 6.36 | 4.86 | -10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 5.88 | 4.38 | -9.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 5.44 | 4.41 | 0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 5.13 | 4.46 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.82 | 4.50 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.51 | 4.50 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 4.44 | 4.33 | -3.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 4.43 | 3.16 | -27.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4.17 | 4.27 | 35.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 3.91 | 4.27 | 35.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 3.88 | 4.36 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 4.26 | -2.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 4.11 | -3.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.03 | 4.09 | -0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.01 | -1.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.16 | 4.01 | -1.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.00 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 4.05 | 1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.06 | 4.05 | 1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.05 | 4.05 | 1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 4.05 | 4.16 | 2.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 4.16 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 4.09 | 4.28 | 2.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 4.11 | -3.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.10 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.04 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 3.97 | -1.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.09 | 3.87 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.03 | 3.87 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4.02 | 3.87 | -2.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.69 | -4.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3.89 | 4.05 | 9.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3.91 | 4.43 | 9.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3.92 | 4.43 | 9.38 | ❌ | 0.55 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 3.98 | 4.18 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 4.05 | 4.13 | -1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.04 | 0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 3.94 | -2.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 4.10 | 3.97 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 4.03 | 3.84 | -3.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.83 | -0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 3.93 | 3.75 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.75 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.84 | 2.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.78 | -1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.78 | 1.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 3.77 | 3.73 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 3.71 | -0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 3.76 | 3.66 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 3.72 | 3.55 | -3.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.71 | 3.59 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 3.68 | 3.59 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.66 | 3.50 | -2.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 3.63 | 3.50 | -2.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.55 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 3.58 | 3.53 | -0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.57 | 1.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 3.55 | 3.54 | -0.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 3.54 | 3.50 | -1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.54 | 3.51 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 3.53 | 3.51 | 0.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 3.52 | 3.54 | 0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 3.51 | 3.49 | -1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.52 | 0.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 3.51 | 3.52 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3.51 | 3.44 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3.50 | 3.48 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 3.49 | 3.59 | 3.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 3.51 | 3.40 | -5.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 3.49 | 3.30 | -2.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 3.44 | 3.28 | -0.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.28 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 3.37 | 3.25 | -0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 3.30 | 3.09 | -4.92 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 3.27 | 3.09 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 3.27 | 3.00 | -2.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 3.26 | 2.84 | -5.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 3.25 | 2.92 | 2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 3.25 | 2.87 | -1.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 3.25 | 2.92 | 1.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 10.84 | 2.91 | -81.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 9.83 | 2.93 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 5.35 | 3.08 | 5.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 18.40 | 3.03 | -96.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 18.41 | 3.04 | 0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 18.41 | 2.95 | -4.22 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 18.19 | 3.00 | 60.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.09.2026 | 1 | 18.18 | 1.66 | -44.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 2.61 | 2.18 | 31.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 2.47 | 3.02 | 38.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.09.2026 | 1 | 2.45 | 5.28 | 74.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 3.10 | 2.98 | -43.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 3.07 | 2.46 | -17.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 11.43 | 3.04 | -93.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 19.27 | 2.57 | -94.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 19.22 | 2.38 | -7.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 18.67 | 2.35 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 18.61 | 2.33 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.09.2026 | 1 | 10.37 | 2.30 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |