Toplam Tahmin
1020
Doğru
508
Yanlış
512
Başarı Oranı
%49.80
PKENT - Petrokent
Tahmin ID: #158897 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 94.2500 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 30.7000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-5.95
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 31.7473 TL | %3.41 |
| 29.09.2026 | 31.7948 TL | %0.15 |
| 30.09.2026 | 31.4961 TL | %-0.94 |
| 01.10.2026 | 31.0546 TL | %-1.40 |
| 02.10.2026 | 28.8266 TL | %-7.17 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Gün | %30.22 | %55.66 | 182 |
| 2 Gün | %33.33 | %67.69 | 183 |
| 4 Gün | %30.39 | %107.35 | 181 |
| 5 Gün | %29.05 | %35.44 | 179 |
| 1 Gün | %35.33 | %84.03 | 184 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 194.00 | 184.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 194.00 | 184.00 | 1.10 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 192.00 | 185.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 191.00 | 185.00 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 188.00 | 190.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 184.40 | 190.00 | 2.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 183.00 | 171.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 182.80 | 171.00 | -10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 176.60 | 150.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 172.80 | 150.00 | -4.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 167.60 | 147.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 160.20 | 147.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 152.20 | 147.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 150.20 | 147.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 148.00 | 147.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 147.20 | 147.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 146.60 | 149.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 146.60 | 149.00 | 1.36 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 146.20 | 146.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 146.00 | 146.00 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 145.80 | 143.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 145.40 | 143.00 | -1.38 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 144.40 | 145.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 143.80 | 145.00 | 1.40 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 143.80 | 146.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 143.80 | 146.00 | 0.69 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 143.80 | 150.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 144.40 | 150.00 | 2.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 146.00 | 146.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 147.00 | 146.00 | -2.67 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 147.20 | 148.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 147.40 | 148.00 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 148.00 | 148.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 147.60 | 148.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 147.20 | 148.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 147.60 | 148.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 148.00 | 146.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 148.00 | 146.00 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 147.60 | 146.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 147.20 | 146.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 146.80 | 146.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 146.40 | 146.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 146.00 | 147.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 146.00 | 147.00 | 0.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 146.20 | 146.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 146.40 | 146.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 146.20 | 145.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 146.00 | 145.00 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 145.60 | 146.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 145.00 | 146.00 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 144.80 | 151.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 145.00 | 151.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 145.20 | 151.00 | 3.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 145.60 | 151.00 | 3.42 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 150.00 | 180.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 154.00 | 180.00 | 8.43 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 174.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 167.60 | 174.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 169.40 | 157.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 167.20 | 157.00 | 1.29 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 164.80 | 153.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 159.60 | 153.00 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 154.20 | 149.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 153.80 | 149.00 | -2.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 152.61 | 149.00 | -2.61 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 151.62 | 149.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 151.61 | 154.00 | 3.36 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 150.18 | 146.00 | -5.19 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 147.95 | 142.00 | -2.74 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 149.54 | 157.10 | 10.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 150.92 | 156.00 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 150.20 | 149.50 | -0.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 150.92 | 149.50 | -0.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 152.45 | 155.30 | 3.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 150.95 | 155.30 | 3.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 150.79 | 155.30 | 3.88 | ✅ | 0.59 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 152.15 | 155.30 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 153.35 | 156.00 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 155.05 | 155.60 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.58 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 156.30 | 154.60 | -0.64 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 156.43 | 154.80 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 155.94 | 151.40 | -2.20 | ✅ | 0.47 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 155.15 | 151.50 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 153.81 | 151.00 | -0.33 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 152.86 | 148.50 | -1.66 | ✅ | 0.51 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 151.39 | 146.10 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.54 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 150.14 | 146.10 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 149.54 | 146.10 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 148.96 | 146.10 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 148.45 | 146.10 | -1.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 148.46 | 146.10 | -1.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 148.00 | 146.90 | 0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 147.67 | 154.50 | 5.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 148.90 | 153.50 | -0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 149.90 | 156.10 | 1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 151.40 | 157.40 | 0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 153.63 | 151.50 | -3.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 154.54 | 157.00 | 3.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 155.06 | 156.50 | -0.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 155.67 | 163.80 | 4.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 157.19 | 161.20 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 158.48 | 161.20 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 160.42 | 163.10 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 161.60 | 172.00 | 5.46 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 164.64 | 172.20 | 0.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 166.33 | 174.60 | 1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 156.00 | 164.30 | 88.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 154.53 | 162.10 | -1.34 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 152.56 | 162.80 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 150.13 | 162.80 | 0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 147.85 | 164.20 | 0.86 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 163.28 | 155.50 | -5.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 161.30 | 153.30 | -1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 159.55 | 155.00 | 1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 157.99 | 152.50 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 156.34 | 152.50 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 154.47 | 152.00 | -0.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 154.53 | 154.20 | 1.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 154.28 | 154.20 | 1.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 154.22 | 154.20 | 1.45 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 154.05 | 158.30 | 2.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 154.81 | 159.50 | 0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 155.76 | 159.10 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 157.17 | 155.30 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 156.39 | 152.20 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 156.10 | 150.20 | -1.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 154.37 | 150.50 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 152.54 | 150.10 | -0.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 150.81 | 150.10 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 150.81 | 150.10 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 150.28 | 142.00 | -5.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 148.56 | 147.00 | 3.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 147.92 | 152.10 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 147.21 | 152.10 | 3.47 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 147.32 | 154.20 | 2.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 148.19 | 156.20 | 1.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 150.64 | 155.00 | 0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 152.23 | 152.40 | -1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 153.31 | 151.10 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 153.36 | 149.60 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 152.46 | 149.80 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 151.69 | 146.00 | -2.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 149.89 | 147.00 | 0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 148.81 | 151.30 | 2.93 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 148.82 | 149.80 | -0.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 148.69 | 151.10 | 1.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 148.93 | 148.30 | -1.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 149.37 | 149.60 | 0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 149.88 | 150.10 | 0.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 149.63 | 147.70 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 149.84 | 147.10 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 149.62 | 147.10 | -0.41 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 149.38 | 147.20 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 148.88 | 147.20 | 0.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 148.29 | 146.20 | -0.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 147.51 | 146.00 | -0.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 146.70 | 146.70 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 146.62 | 146.00 | -0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 146.39 | 146.70 | 0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 146.31 | 142.00 | -3.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 146.42 | 142.00 | -3.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 145.62 | 142.10 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 144.68 | 138.80 | -2.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 143.25 | 136.90 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 141.27 | 138.20 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 139.57 | 137.90 | -0.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 138.74 | 141.10 | 2.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 138.55 | 137.80 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 138.34 | 136.60 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 138.28 | 141.60 | 3.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 138.96 | 136.50 | -3.60 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 138.69 | 136.10 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 137.69 | 134.40 | -1.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 137.01 | 127.80 | -4.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 136.58 | 124.00 | -2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 135.15 | 114.40 | -7.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 134.73 | 114.60 | 0.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 134.41 | 120.00 | 4.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 134.42 | 123.00 | 2.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 134.41 | 123.80 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.08.2026 | 1 | 101.52 | 125.40 | 901.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 59.15 | 125.90 | 6855.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 61.14 | 128.40 | 1233.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 83.17 | 127.10 | -1.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 106.10 | 126.20 | -0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 97.92 | 126.80 | 858.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 97.26 | 126.10 | -0.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 98.94 | 125.60 | -3.53 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 99.48 | 123.70 | -2.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.09.2026 | 1 | 100.86 | 123.30 | -0.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 122.82 | 122.40 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 123.80 | 127.20 | 3.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 104.40 | 124.40 | 328.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 104.73 | 122.90 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 78.78 | 108.60 | 12.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |