Toplam Tahmin
1020
Doğru
546
Yanlış
474
Başarı Oranı
%53.53
RGYAS - Rönesans Gayrimenkul
Tahmin ID: #158915 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 188.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 10.7400 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-2.48
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 11.3289 TL | %5.48 |
| 29.09.2026 | 11.5897 TL | %2.30 |
| 30.09.2026 | 11.2304 TL | %-3.10 |
| 01.10.2026 | 10.9471 TL | %-2.52 |
| 02.10.2026 | 10.4394 TL | %-4.64 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %34.78 | %49.95 | 184 |
| 3 Gün | %26.92 | %68.99 | 182 |
| 5 Gün | %25.70 | %30.61 | 179 |
| 4 Gün | %29.28 | %32.84 | 181 |
| 2 Gün | %31.15 | %70.61 | 183 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 141.00 | 135.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 141.00 | 135.00 | -1.46 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 139.67 | 134.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 139.00 | 134.00 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 139.00 | 137.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 138.60 | 137.00 | 2.24 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 138.00 | 136.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 138.20 | 136.00 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 138.20 | 139.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 137.80 | 139.00 | 1.46 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 137.80 | 141.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 138.00 | 141.00 | 1.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 138.60 | 140.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 139.40 | 140.00 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 140.00 | 140.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 140.20 | 140.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 140.60 | 147.00 | 4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 140.60 | 147.00 | 5.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 142.40 | 151.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 144.40 | 151.00 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 146.40 | 149.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 148.20 | 149.00 | -1.32 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 149.80 | 151.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 149.60 | 151.00 | 1.34 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 149.60 | 156.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 149.60 | 156.00 | 3.31 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 150.60 | 158.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 151.80 | 158.00 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 153.40 | 161.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 154.80 | 161.00 | 1.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 157.00 | 164.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 158.20 | 164.00 | 1.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 160.00 | 161.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 161.40 | 161.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 162.80 | 161.00 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 163.40 | 161.00 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 163.40 | 161.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 162.80 | 161.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 162.20 | 157.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 161.60 | 157.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 161.00 | 157.00 | -2.48 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 161.00 | 157.00 | -2.48 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 160.20 | 155.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 159.40 | 155.00 | -1.27 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 158.20 | 153.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 157.00 | 153.00 | -1.29 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 155.40 | 154.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 154.60 | 154.00 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 153.80 | 153.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 153.40 | 153.00 | -0.65 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 153.00 | 156.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 153.00 | 156.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 153.00 | 156.00 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 153.00 | 156.00 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 154.20 | 161.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 155.40 | 161.00 | 1.26 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 157.00 | 164.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 158.60 | 164.00 | 1.86 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 160.00 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 160.20 | 159.00 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 161.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 161.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 160.60 | 162.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 160.80 | 162.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 161.21 | 162.00 | 0.62 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 160.82 | 159.00 | -1.85 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 162.02 | 167.00 | 5.03 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 162.21 | 162.00 | -2.99 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 161.62 | 158.00 | -2.47 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 161.21 | 160.00 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 161.30 | 159.50 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 158.97 | 153.80 | -0.97 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 157.35 | 153.80 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 156.52 | 156.90 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 155.30 | 156.90 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 154.79 | 156.90 | 2.02 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 155.69 | 159.40 | -0.06 | ❌ | 0.69 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 156.82 | 158.30 | -0.69 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 157.74 | 159.70 | 0.69 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 158.92 | 160.60 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 159.43 | 156.30 | -2.68 | ✅ | 0.74 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 158.75 | 152.80 | -2.24 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 157.43 | 155.10 | 1.51 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 156.78 | 154.00 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 155.58 | 156.00 | 1.30 | ❌ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 154.91 | 156.20 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 154.86 | 156.20 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.72 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 155.51 | 156.20 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 155.68 | 156.20 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 156.13 | 156.20 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 156.13 | 156.20 | 0.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 156.15 | 157.30 | 0.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 156.37 | 160.90 | 2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 157.34 | 163.20 | 1.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 158.77 | 166.00 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 160.71 | 166.10 | 0.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 162.69 | 167.60 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 164.65 | 171.00 | 2.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 166.61 | 172.30 | 0.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 168.42 | 175.10 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 170.22 | 179.00 | 2.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 172.00 | 179.00 | 2.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 174.34 | 181.30 | 1.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 176.48 | 183.40 | 1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 178.67 | 184.60 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 180.60 | 185.50 | 0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 182.73 | 188.00 | 1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 184.08 | 188.00 | 1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 185.42 | 189.10 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 186.61 | 189.00 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 187.51 | 189.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 188.16 | 189.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 188.82 | 189.70 | 0.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 189.12 | 187.50 | -1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 188.76 | 184.60 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 187.89 | 185.50 | 0.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 187.22 | 183.00 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 186.56 | 183.00 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 185.75 | 182.00 | -0.55 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 185.39 | 182.20 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 184.90 | 182.20 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 184.88 | 182.20 | 0.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 184.33 | 190.50 | 4.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 185.30 | 190.10 | -0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 186.19 | 186.20 | -2.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 186.95 | 179.90 | -3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 187.65 | 204.00 | 7.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 191.75 | 202.20 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 194.02 | 196.50 | -2.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 195.26 | 201.00 | 2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 197.30 | 201.00 | 2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 198.68 | 201.00 | 2.29 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 198.09 | 181.20 | -9.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 194.06 | 192.00 | 5.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 193.36 | 192.30 | 0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 192.51 | 192.30 | 0.16 | ❌ | 0.52 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 191.82 | 195.00 | 1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 190.72 | 195.50 | 0.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 193.49 | 195.00 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 193.96 | 195.30 | 0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 194.59 | 195.90 | 0.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 195.33 | 199.40 | 1.79 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 196.35 | 197.80 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 196.79 | 198.90 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 197.59 | 205.50 | 3.32 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 199.61 | 203.40 | -1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 201.03 | 198.80 | -2.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 201.01 | 198.40 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 201.17 | 200.00 | 0.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 201.39 | 199.50 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 200.29 | 195.70 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 198.83 | 196.70 | 0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 198.03 | 194.80 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 197.53 | 194.80 | -0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 196.50 | 192.10 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 195.52 | 192.10 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 194.76 | 192.00 | -0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 194.01 | 193.40 | 0.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 193.49 | 191.70 | -0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 192.84 | 191.50 | -0.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 192.17 | 191.90 | 0.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 192.12 | 193.70 | 0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 192.07 | 193.70 | 0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 192.13 | 196.00 | 1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 192.97 | 194.30 | -0.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 193.53 | 197.20 | 1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 194.56 | 197.90 | 0.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 195.76 | 197.60 | -0.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 196.66 | 205.00 | 3.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 198.45 | 203.00 | -0.98 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 200.17 | 206.30 | 1.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 201.99 | 203.90 | -1.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 203.19 | 207.60 | 1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 204.32 | 206.00 | -0.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 204.86 | 202.00 | -1.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 204.70 | 120.40 | -40.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 203.86 | 132.40 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 203.50 | 145.60 | 9.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 203.12 | 140.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 202.02 | 154.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 202.00 | 169.40 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 202.01 | 168.80 | -0.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 195.53 | 44.44 | -73.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 189.14 | 43.04 | -3.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 182.67 | 47.32 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 176.19 | 47.32 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 169.68 | 47.32 | 9.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 169.74 | 46.64 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 169.69 | 46.64 | -1.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.08.2026 | 1 | 145.14 | 76.60 | 64.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.08.2026 | 1 | 126.54 | 63.60 | -16.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.08.2026 | 1 | 107.97 | 69.50 | 9.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.08.2026 | 1 | 87.82 | 209.40 | 201.30 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 60.19 | 204.60 | 1869.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 48.41 | 207.50 | 1.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 49.78 | 213.00 | 3473.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 48.82 | 209.70 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 45.03 | 215.40 | 1.36 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.09.2026 | 1 | 59.62 | 204.00 | 3602.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 59.67 | 204.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 100.84 | 196.60 | -3.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 54.69 | 200.50 | 1835.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 95.86 | 201.30 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 132.17 | 177.00 | -11.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 94.50 | 191.30 | 813.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 120.94 | 190.40 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 156.60 | 190.40 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 151.28 | 200.00 | 5.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.09.2026 | 1 | 153.76 | 197.60 | -1.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.09.2026 | 1 | 188.60 | 58.60 | -70.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |