Toplam Tahmin

1010

Doğru

547

Yanlış

463

Başarı Oranı

%54.16

SAHOL - Sabancı Holding

Tahmin ID: #158924 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 86.5000 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 15.1200 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %7.20
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
28.09.2026 16.5246 TL %9.29
29.09.2026 16.4373 TL %-0.53
30.09.2026 16.0223 TL %-2.52
01.10.2026 15.6722 TL %-2.19
02.10.2026 16.1658 TL %3.15
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
1 Gün %38.80 %36.57 183
2 Gün %32.42 %58.59 182
4 Gün %30.56 %12.06 180
3 Gün %36.46 %54.50 181
5 Gün %30.90 %22.15 178
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 84.00 83.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 84.00 83.00 -1.19 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 83.67 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 83.50 83.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 83.20 84.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 82.80 84.00 1.20 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 82.80 87.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 83.00 87.00 3.57 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 84.80 90.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 86.80 90.00 -2.17 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 88.60 91.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 90.00 91.00 1.11 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 91.40 91.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 91.20 91.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 91.20 93.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 91.40 93.00 2.20 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 92.00 93.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 92.60 93.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 93.20 95.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 93.60 95.00 1.06 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 93.80 94.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 93.60 94.00 1.08 ✅ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 93.60 95.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 93.60 95.00 1.06 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 93.80 97.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 94.20 97.00 2.11 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 95.00 98.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 95.60 98.00 1.03 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 96.40 100.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 97.00 100.00 2.04 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 98.00 105.00 4.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 98.60 105.00 5.00 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 100.20 110.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 101.60 110.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 103.00 110.00 4.76 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 104.00 110.00 4.76 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 105.80 109.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 106.60 109.00 -0.91 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 107.40 108.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 108.20 108.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 109.00 108.00 -0.92 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 109.00 108.00 -0.92 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 108.80 109.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 108.60 109.00 0.93 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 108.60 106.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 108.60 106.00 -2.75 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 108.20 103.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 108.00 103.00 -2.83 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 107.00 103.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 105.80 103.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 104.60 105.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 103.80 105.00 1.94 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 104.20 111.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 105.40 111.00 0.91 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 107.00 112.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 108.60 112.00 0.90 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 108.80 105.00 1.00 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 107.80 105.00 0.96 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 107.20 106.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 106.20 106.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 105.20 103.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 105.60 103.00 -2.83 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 105.39 103.00 -2.83 ✅ 0.64
26.02.2026 1 105.18 105.00 1.94 ✅ 0.64
27.02.2026 1 103.98 100.00 -4.76 ✅ 0.64
02.03.2026 1 101.97 96.00 -4.00 ✅ 0.65
03.03.2026 1 99.17 92.00 -4.17 ✅ 0.65
04.03.2026 1 97.34 93.80 1.96 ✅ 0.63
05.03.2026 1 95.04 93.40 -0.43 ✅ 0.63
09.03.2026 1 93.05 91.05 1.17 ✅ 0.63
09.03.2026 1 92.07 91.05 1.17 ✅ 0.64
10.03.2026 1 91.89 95.70 5.11 ✅ 0.64
10.03.2026 1 91.35 95.70 5.11 ✅ 0.64
10.03.2026 1 90.89 95.70 5.11 ✅ 0.64
13.03.2026 1 91.98 94.90 -0.73 ✅ 0.63
16.03.2026 1 92.77 94.05 -0.90 ❌ 0.65
18.03.2026 1 93.73 93.20 -2.82 ❌ 0.65
19.03.2026 1 94.15 92.55 -0.70 ✅ 0.62
23.03.2026 1 94.58 93.45 0.97 ✅ 0.64
24.03.2026 1 94.19 89.95 -3.75 ❌ 0.63
25.03.2026 1 93.18 91.15 1.33 ✅ 0.65
26.03.2026 1 92.22 89.95 -1.32 ❌ 0.66
27.03.2026 1 91.58 89.10 -0.95 ❌ 0.66
28.03.2026 1 90.77 88.90 -0.22 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 89.90 88.90 -0.22 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 89.74 88.90 -0.22 ❌ 0.66
29.03.2026 1 89.33 88.90 -0.22 ✅ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 89.15 88.90 -0.22 ✅ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 89.14 88.90 -0.22 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 89.09 89.40 0.56 ✅ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 89.14 90.55 1.29 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 89.42 90.10 -0.50 ✅ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 89.65 89.00 -1.22 ❌ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 89.61 91.75 3.09 ❌ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 90.14 89.30 -2.67 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 90.16 96.35 7.89 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 91.30 97.55 1.25 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 92.75 102.00 4.56 ❌ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 95.36 99.10 -2.84 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 97.43 99.10 -2.84 ✅ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 99.35 100.50 1.41 ❌ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 100.17 100.60 0.10 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 100.83 99.50 -1.09 ❌ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 100.34 105.10 5.63 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 101.00 102.90 -2.09 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 102.22 102.90 -2.09 ❌ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 102.74 101.00 -1.85 ❌ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 102.80 98.90 -2.08 ❌ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 102.68 98.80 -0.10 ❌ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 101.42 98.80 -0.10 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 100.15 98.15 -0.66 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 99.20 96.40 -1.78 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 98.30 96.15 -0.26 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 97.77 95.65 -0.52 ❌ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 97.10 93.70 -2.04 ✅ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 96.46 93.70 -2.04 ✅ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 95.96 95.30 1.71 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 95.79 100.70 5.67 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 95.55 100.70 5.67 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 95.55 100.70 5.67 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 96.59 100.00 -0.70 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 97.41 100.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 98.28 99.35 -0.65 ❌ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 99.08 95.20 -4.18 ✅ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 98.95 95.85 0.63 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 97.87 93.05 -2.92 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 96.49 92.30 -0.81 ✅ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 94.91 92.65 0.38 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 93.56 92.65 0.38 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 93.04 92.65 0.38 ✅ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 92.41 87.25 -5.83 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 91.30 89.15 2.18 ✅ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 90.77 90.30 1.29 ✅ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 90.13 90.30 1.29 ❌ 0.62
01.06.2026 1 90.03 89.00 -3.26 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 89.35 93.30 4.83 ❌ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 90.02 92.00 1.43 ❌ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 90.52 90.00 -2.17 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 90.69 91.50 1.67 ❌ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 90.61 91.20 -0.33 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 91.06 91.15 -0.05 ❌ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 91.16 91.60 0.49 ✅ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 91.09 95.95 4.75 ❌ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 92.26 101.20 5.47 ❌ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 94.18 100.80 -0.40 ✅ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 95.86 102.50 2.71 ❌ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 98.11 100.80 -1.66 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 99.99 101.50 0.69 ✅ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 101.17 99.15 -2.32 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 100.81 99.80 0.66 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 100.73 97.00 -2.81 ✅ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 100.08 97.00 -2.81 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 99.30 97.45 0.46 ✅ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 98.36 97.45 0.46 ✅ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 98.00 97.50 0.05 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 97.68 97.50 0.00 ✅ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 97.33 98.10 0.62 ❌ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 97.54 97.55 -0.56 ✅ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 97.63 94.50 -3.13 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 97.03 93.60 -0.95 ✅ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 96.41 93.60 -0.95 ✅ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 95.65 92.80 -0.85 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 94.59 90.00 -3.02 ✅ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 93.08 89.15 -0.94 ✅ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 92.02 90.50 1.51 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 91.21 89.20 -1.44 ✅ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 90.37 90.30 0.95 ✅ 0.60
17.07.2026 1 89.86 88.40 -2.10 ✅ 0.60
20.07.2026 1 89.54 89.00 0.68 ❌ 0.60
21.07.2026 1 89.52 88.40 -0.67 ❌ 0.60
22.07.2026 1 89.10 89.10 0.79 ❌ 0.60
23.07.2026 1 88.89 87.95 -1.29 ✅ 0.60
24.07.2026 1 88.45 87.10 -0.97 ❌ 0.60
27.07.2026 1 88.20 117.10 34.44 ✅ 0.60
28.07.2026 1 87.80 117.70 0.51 ❌ 0.60
29.07.2026 1 87.55 118.50 0.68 ❌ 0.60
30.07.2026 1 87.28 118.50 0.00 ❌ 0.60
31.07.2026 1 87.09 121.50 2.53 ❌ 0.60
03.08.2026 1 87.10 119.10 -1.98 ✅ 0.60
04.08.2026 1 87.11 123.30 3.53 ❌ 0.60
05.08.2026 1 94.26 89.10 -27.74 ✅ 0.60
06.08.2026 1 101.38 88.10 -1.12 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 108.44 88.05 -0.06 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 115.51 88.05 -0.06 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 122.62 88.05 -0.06 ❌ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 122.65 88.50 0.51 ✅ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 122.74 88.50 0.51 ✅ 0.60
11.08.2026 1 115.92 87.60 -1.02 ✅ 0.60
14.08.2026 1 60.72 89.40 6776.92 ✅ 0.60
18.08.2026 1 54.10 88.95 554.04 ✅ 0.60
20.08.2026 1 56.15 90.15 494.66 ❌ 0.60
21.08.2026 1 73.15 92.40 2.50 ❌ 0.60
24.08.2026 1 74.66 94.25 2.00 ✅ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 74.44 93.50 -0.80 ✅ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 74.18 93.50 -0.80 ✅ 0.60
26.08.2026 1 89.98 93.95 0.48 ❌ 0.60
27.08.2026 1 89.75 93.75 -0.21 ✅ 0.60
31.08.2026 1 88.90 93.20 -0.48 ✅ 0.60
02.09.2026 1 84.84 92.50 42.20 ✅ 0.60
03.09.2026 1 86.03 93.00 0.54 ❌ 0.60
04.09.2026 1 86.03 92.60 -0.43 ✅ 0.60
07.09.2026 1 87.54 94.05 1.57 ✅ 0.60
10.09.2026 1 78.73 94.80 404.26 ✅ 0.60
11.09.2026 1 79.25 95.30 0.53 ✅ 0.60
18.09.2026 1 63.77 88.05 269.96 ✅ 0.60
21.09.2026 1 76.96 90.55 2.84 ❌ 0.60
22.09.2026 1 75.25 91.15 0.66 ❌ 0.60
23.09.2026 1 73.66 91.10 -0.05 ✅ 0.60
24.09.2026 1 74.06 74.30 -18.44 ✅ 0.60