Toplam Tahmin
1020
Doğru
473
Yanlış
547
Başarı Oranı
%46.37
SONME - Sönmez Filament
Tahmin ID: #158957 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 119.9000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 27.1000 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %13.13
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 28.6647 TL | %5.77 |
| 29.09.2026 | 28.8804 TL | %0.75 |
| 30.09.2026 | 28.8230 TL | %-0.20 |
| 01.10.2026 | 29.9984 TL | %4.08 |
| 02.10.2026 | 30.8155 TL | %2.72 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Gün | %30.43 | %181.10 | 184 |
| 5 Gün | %21.23 | %167.85 | 179 |
| 4 Gün | %23.20 | %180.13 | 181 |
| 3 Gün | %23.08 | %261.57 | 182 |
| 1 Gün | %28.26 | %143.06 | 184 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 147.00 | 150.00 | -7.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 147.00 | 150.00 | -7.41 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 147.67 | 158.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 148.00 | 158.00 | 5.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 148.80 | 173.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 149.80 | 173.00 | 9.49 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 152.00 | 182.00 | 5.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 153.80 | 182.00 | 5.20 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 159.00 | 173.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 163.60 | 173.00 | 0.58 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 168.40 | 190.00 | 10.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 172.00 | 190.00 | 9.83 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 179.00 | 194.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 182.60 | 194.00 | 2.11 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 187.20 | 182.00 | -6.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 191.60 | 182.00 | -6.19 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 193.40 | 181.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 191.80 | 181.00 | -0.55 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 186.80 | 167.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 180.80 | 167.00 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 175.00 | 176.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 171.80 | 176.00 | 4.14 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 170.00 | 173.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 171.60 | 173.00 | -1.70 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 172.60 | 173.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 173.40 | 173.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 174.20 | 170.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 173.60 | 170.00 | -1.73 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 172.40 | 167.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 171.80 | 167.00 | -1.76 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 170.60 | 164.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 169.40 | 164.00 | -1.80 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 167.60 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 166.40 | 163.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 165.20 | 163.00 | -0.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 164.60 | 163.00 | -0.61 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 163.80 | 158.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 163.60 | 158.00 | -3.07 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 162.60 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 161.40 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 160.40 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 159.40 | 158.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 158.40 | 159.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 158.20 | 159.00 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 158.40 | 160.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 158.40 | 160.00 | 0.63 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 156.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 159.20 | 156.00 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 155.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 158.20 | 155.00 | -0.64 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 157.20 | 156.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 156.00 | 156.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 154.80 | 156.00 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 154.40 | 156.00 | 0.65 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 155.60 | 158.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 157.20 | 158.00 | -2.47 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 158.00 | 155.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 158.80 | 155.00 | -1.90 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 158.00 | 151.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 155.60 | 151.00 | 0.67 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 153.20 | 150.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 151.60 | 150.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 150.00 | 145.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 150.00 | 145.00 | -3.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 149.00 | 145.00 | -3.33 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 149.41 | 152.00 | 4.83 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 150.21 | 154.00 | 1.32 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 148.61 | 142.00 | -7.79 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 146.82 | 141.00 | -0.70 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 04.03.2026 | 1 | 145.99 | 140.90 | -0.07 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 144.99 | 147.00 | 4.33 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 142.95 | 153.30 | 6.61 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 145.17 | 153.30 | 6.61 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 147.60 | 156.30 | 1.96 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 150.04 | 156.30 | 1.96 | ❌ | 0.66 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 151.85 | 156.30 | 1.96 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 153.54 | 151.70 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 153.23 | 150.00 | -1.12 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 152.65 | 148.60 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 151.76 | 151.90 | 2.22 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 150.28 | 149.50 | -1.58 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 149.72 | 146.50 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.64 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 148.72 | 146.00 | -0.34 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 147.88 | 145.00 | -0.68 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 147.17 | 142.30 | -1.86 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 145.94 | 139.10 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 144.53 | 139.10 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 143.71 | 139.10 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 142.98 | 139.10 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 142.44 | 139.10 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 142.45 | 139.10 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 141.79 | 138.50 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 141.03 | 141.10 | 1.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 140.75 | 139.90 | -0.85 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 140.26 | 138.90 | -0.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 139.56 | 140.80 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 139.87 | 137.90 | -2.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 139.64 | 141.00 | 2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 139.66 | 140.40 | -0.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 139.82 | 139.20 | -0.85 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 139.85 | 136.90 | -1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 139.52 | 136.90 | -1.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 139.42 | 136.30 | -0.44 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 138.45 | 146.40 | 7.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 113.70 | 146.30 | 1385.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 115.13 | 142.00 | -2.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 116.98 | 142.00 | -2.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 118.24 | 139.90 | -1.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 117.09 | 140.20 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 143.51 | 138.70 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 142.31 | 138.70 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 138.04 | 140.00 | 0.94 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 136.52 | 139.00 | -0.71 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 134.31 | 140.60 | 1.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 132.39 | 138.90 | -1.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 131.79 | 136.00 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 134.57 | 136.00 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 132.73 | 135.30 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 133.01 | 138.50 | 2.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 132.65 | 138.50 | 2.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 132.27 | 138.50 | 2.37 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 132.21 | 141.40 | 2.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 135.27 | 138.40 | -2.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 136.74 | 138.50 | 0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 138.30 | 137.00 | -1.08 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 138.53 | 137.50 | 0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 138.38 | 135.90 | -1.16 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 137.43 | 134.30 | -1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 136.64 | 129.90 | -3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 135.92 | 129.90 | -3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 135.41 | 129.90 | -3.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 133.85 | 127.90 | -1.54 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 132.19 | 133.00 | 3.99 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 131.94 | 133.50 | 0.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 131.57 | 133.50 | 0.38 | ❌ | 0.59 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 132.57 | 135.00 | -2.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 133.54 | 136.20 | 0.89 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 134.66 | 131.60 | -1.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 134.39 | 128.70 | -2.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 133.58 | 125.90 | -2.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 131.04 | 124.40 | -1.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 129.02 | 128.30 | 3.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 127.96 | 125.00 | -2.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 126.60 | 123.90 | -0.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 125.57 | 124.00 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 125.14 | 136.40 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 127.40 | 132.50 | -2.50 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 128.19 | 129.20 | -2.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 129.00 | 131.10 | 1.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 130.50 | 129.70 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 113.63 | 126.50 | 169.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 96.74 | 126.50 | 169.15 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 96.01 | 125.00 | -1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 94.99 | 124.10 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 93.80 | 124.10 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 107.99 | 129.90 | 4.67 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 123.58 | 127.00 | -2.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 123.52 | 126.20 | -0.63 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 123.98 | 126.20 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 124.39 | 128.00 | 1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 126.07 | 125.00 | -2.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 126.14 | 123.90 | -0.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 125.76 | 124.40 | 0.40 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 125.22 | 131.90 | 6.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 126.33 | 135.00 | 2.51 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 128.04 | 132.30 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 129.47 | 130.10 | -1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 130.65 | 125.00 | -3.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 130.79 | 124.50 | -0.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 129.38 | 123.60 | -0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 127.16 | 125.00 | 1.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.08.2026 | 1 | 55.91 | 123.80 | -50.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.08.2026 | 1 | 80.31 | 139.60 | 7698.88 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 87.01 | 152.90 | -36.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.08.2026 | 1 | 91.97 | 53.60 | -64.94 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 97.60 | 146.50 | 173.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 124.28 | 145.90 | -0.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 128.26 | 145.50 | -0.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 127.25 | 143.00 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 126.15 | 143.00 | -1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 142.01 | 143.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 137.91 | 136.10 | -1.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.09.2026 | 1 | 93.99 | 135.70 | 1187.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 92.58 | 134.80 | -0.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 92.34 | 134.70 | -0.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.09.2026 | 1 | 89.81 | 136.60 | -0.29 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 103.11 | 140.00 | 2.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 126.72 | 139.40 | -0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 127.19 | 57.15 | -56.14 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 114.10 | 129.60 | 126.77 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 114.84 | 126.60 | -2.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 115.09 | 125.60 | -0.79 | ❌ | 0.60 |