Toplam Tahmin

1020

Doğru

591

Yanlış

429

Başarı Oranı

%57.94

SURGY - Sur GYO

Tahmin ID: #158961 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026

Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 20.6400 TL

Temel Veriler
  • Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 3.9400 TL
  • Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
  • 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %2.29
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
Gün Tahmin Fiyatı %Getiri
28.09.2026 3.9684 TL %0.72
29.09.2026 3.9204 TL %-1.21
30.09.2026 3.9460 TL %0.65
01.10.2026 3.9720 TL %0.66
02.10.2026 4.0303 TL %1.47
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Vade Başarı Yüzdesi Ort. Hata Yüzdesi Toplam Tahmin
4 Gün %27.22 %141.06 180
2 Gün %24.59 %131.61 183
3 Gün %24.73 %133.06 182
5 Gün %18.44 %192.02 179
1 Gün %26.09 %111.62 184
Tahmin; yönü doğruysa ve hata %5'in altındaysa başarılı kabul edilir.
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması

📊 Model Başarı Performansı

Tarih Gün Tahmin Gerçek Getiri % Yön Güven
29.12.2025 1 42.00 41.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
29.12.2025 1 42.00 41.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 41.00 42.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
30.12.2025 1 40.50 42.00 2.44 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 40.20 44.00 3.00 ❌ 0.00
31.12.2025 1 39.60 44.00 4.76 ❌ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 39.00 43.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.01.2026 1 39.00 43.00 -2.27 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 39.80 43.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
07.01.2026 1 40.60 43.00 -2.27 ✅ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 41.40 44.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
08.01.2026 1 42.20 44.00 2.33 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 43.20 44.00 -1.00 ✅ 0.00
09.01.2026 1 43.40 44.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 43.40 42.00 -4.00 ✅ 0.00
12.01.2026 1 43.40 42.00 -4.55 ✅ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 43.00 44.00 4.00 ❌ 0.00
13.01.2026 1 42.40 44.00 4.76 ❌ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 42.40 44.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
19.01.2026 1 42.60 44.00 -2.22 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 42.60 42.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
21.01.2026 1 43.00 42.00 -2.33 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 43.40 42.00 0.00 ❌ 0.00
22.01.2026 1 43.20 42.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 42.80 43.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
23.01.2026 1 42.60 43.00 2.38 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 42.60 43.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
26.01.2026 1 42.60 43.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 42.60 47.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
27.01.2026 1 42.80 47.00 9.30 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 43.80 48.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
28.01.2026 1 44.60 48.00 2.13 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 45.60 49.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 46.60 49.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 47.60 49.00 2.08 ✅ 0.00
29.01.2026 1 47.80 49.00 2.08 ✅ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 48.20 49.00 1.00 ❌ 0.00
30.01.2026 1 48.40 49.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 48.60 47.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 48.80 47.00 -3.00 ✅ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 49.00 47.00 -4.08 ❌ 0.00
02.02.2026 1 49.00 47.00 -4.08 ❌ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 48.60 52.00 9.00 ✅ 0.00
03.02.2026 1 48.20 52.00 10.64 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 48.80 54.00 2.00 ✅ 0.00
04.02.2026 1 49.40 54.00 3.85 ✅ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 50.40 53.00 -1.00 ❌ 0.00
05.02.2026 1 51.80 53.00 -1.85 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 53.00 51.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
06.02.2026 1 53.20 51.00 -3.77 ❌ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 53.00 51.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 52.40 51.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 51.80 51.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
09.02.2026 1 51.40 51.00 0.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 52.00 58.00 3.00 ✅ 0.00
13.02.2026 1 53.00 58.00 3.57 ✅ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 54.40 64.00 9.00 ❌ 0.00
16.02.2026 1 55.80 64.00 10.34 ✅ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 60.00 74.00 2.00 ❌ 0.00
20.02.2026 1 63.20 74.00 2.78 ✅ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 67.40 74.00 -3.00 ❌ 0.00
24.02.2026 1 71.20 74.00 -3.90 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 74.40 72.00 -2.00 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 74.80 72.00 -2.70 ❌ 0.00
25.02.2026 1 74.80 72.00 -2.70 ✅ 0.65
26.02.2026 1 74.40 75.00 4.17 ✅ 0.65
27.02.2026 1 73.19 71.00 -5.33 ✅ 0.65
02.03.2026 1 71.99 68.00 -4.23 ✅ 0.65
03.03.2026 1 70.61 67.00 -1.47 ✅ 0.65
04.03.2026 1 69.42 65.95 -1.57 ✅ 0.63
05.03.2026 1 67.29 64.25 -2.58 ✅ 0.63
09.03.2026 1 65.50 56.20 -9.28 ❌ 0.63
09.03.2026 1 63.15 56.20 -9.28 ✅ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 60.99 59.55 5.96 ✅ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 59.03 59.55 5.96 ✅ 0.66
10.03.2026 1 58.08 59.55 5.96 ✅ 0.65
13.03.2026 1 57.18 56.70 -1.39 ❌ 0.65
16.03.2026 1 57.25 54.80 -3.35 ✅ 0.62
18.03.2026 1 57.07 57.60 4.25 ✅ 0.63
19.03.2026 1 57.35 57.00 -1.04 ❌ 0.63
23.03.2026 1 56.95 56.55 -0.79 ❌ 0.66
24.03.2026 1 56.77 56.15 -0.71 ❌ 0.65
25.03.2026 1 56.66 57.70 2.76 ❌ 0.67
26.03.2026 1 57.11 55.70 -3.47 ✅ 0.66
27.03.2026 1 56.73 54.20 -2.69 ❌ 0.68
28.03.2026 1 56.06 53.50 -1.29 ❌ 0.67
28.03.2026 1 55.59 53.50 -1.29 ❌ 0.60
28.03.2026 1 55.23 53.50 -1.29 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 54.54 53.50 -1.29 ❌ 0.60
29.03.2026 1 54.24 53.50 -1.29 ❌ 0.60
30.03.2026 1 54.23 53.50 -1.29 ❌ 0.60
31.03.2026 1 54.07 54.40 1.68 ❌ 0.60
01.04.2026 1 54.09 56.75 4.32 ❌ 0.60
02.04.2026 1 54.60 55.15 -2.82 ❌ 0.60
03.04.2026 1 54.79 54.65 -0.91 ✅ 0.60
06.04.2026 1 54.88 55.90 2.29 ✅ 0.60
07.04.2026 1 55.37 53.25 -4.74 ✅ 0.60
08.04.2026 1 55.15 55.70 4.60 ✅ 0.60
09.04.2026 1 54.95 55.60 -0.18 ❌ 0.60
10.04.2026 1 55.04 61.15 9.98 ✅ 0.60
12.04.2026 1 56.33 67.25 9.98 ❌ 0.60
13.04.2026 1 57.38 67.25 9.98 ❌ 0.60
14.04.2026 1 60.18 68.50 1.86 ✅ 0.60
15.04.2026 1 62.72 69.05 0.80 ❌ 0.60
16.04.2026 1 65.39 50.90 -26.29 ✅ 0.60
17.04.2026 1 63.34 70.00 37.52 ❌ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 65.12 73.00 4.29 ✅ 0.60
20.04.2026 1 65.67 73.00 4.29 ✅ 0.60
21.04.2026 1 66.59 70.50 -3.42 ✅ 0.60
22.04.2026 1 66.88 69.35 -1.63 ✅ 0.60
23.04.2026 1 70.57 68.35 -1.44 ✅ 0.60
24.04.2026 1 70.45 68.35 -1.44 ❌ 0.60
27.04.2026 1 70.05 70.20 2.71 ❌ 0.60
28.04.2026 1 69.50 69.80 -0.57 ❌ 0.60
29.04.2026 1 69.34 71.50 2.44 ❌ 0.60
30.04.2026 1 69.77 70.95 -0.77 ✅ 0.60
01.05.2026 1 70.05 72.20 1.76 ❌ 0.60
04.05.2026 1 70.58 72.20 1.76 ❌ 0.60
05.05.2026 1 70.69 74.75 3.53 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 71.72 73.00 -2.34 ❌ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 71.57 73.00 -2.34 ✅ 0.60
06.05.2026 1 71.55 73.00 -2.34 ✅ 0.60
07.05.2026 1 72.00 73.00 0.00 ❌ 0.60
08.05.2026 1 72.47 80.30 10.00 ✅ 0.60
11.05.2026 1 73.54 81.40 1.37 ❌ 0.60
12.05.2026 1 75.70 73.45 -9.77 ❌ 0.60
14.05.2026 1 75.63 70.00 -0.14 ❌ 0.60
15.05.2026 1 75.00 69.50 -0.71 ✅ 0.60
18.05.2026 1 74.27 69.00 -0.72 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 72.05 66.10 -4.20 ❌ 0.60
19.05.2026 1 69.57 66.10 -4.20 ❌ 0.60
20.05.2026 1 69.26 66.10 -4.20 ✅ 0.60
21.05.2026 1 68.48 62.35 -5.67 ✅ 0.60
22.05.2026 1 66.99 66.00 5.85 ❌ 0.60
23.05.2026 1 66.34 70.00 6.06 ❌ 0.60
24.05.2026 1 65.69 70.00 6.06 ❌ 0.56
01.06.2026 1 65.76 67.50 -2.60 ✅ 0.60
02.06.2026 1 66.08 67.30 -0.30 ✅ 0.60
04.06.2026 1 67.40 69.15 0.73 ✅ 0.60
05.06.2026 1 68.09 71.60 3.54 ✅ 0.60
08.06.2026 1 69.25 76.90 7.40 ✅ 0.60
09.06.2026 1 70.77 75.65 -1.63 ✅ 0.60
10.06.2026 1 72.37 75.00 -0.86 ✅ 0.60
11.06.2026 1 73.62 73.25 -2.33 ✅ 0.60
12.06.2026 1 74.42 74.75 2.05 ✅ 0.60
15.06.2026 1 75.06 75.35 0.80 ✅ 0.60
16.06.2026 1 74.78 74.05 -1.73 ❌ 0.60
18.06.2026 1 73.90 73.75 3.80 ✅ 0.60
19.06.2026 1 73.67 73.75 0.00 ✅ 0.60
22.06.2026 1 73.76 73.40 -0.47 ❌ 0.60
23.06.2026 1 73.49 71.95 -1.98 ❌ 0.60
24.06.2026 1 72.81 70.65 -1.81 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 72.99 69.85 -1.13 ❌ 0.60
25.06.2026 1 72.63 69.85 -1.13 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 71.86 69.65 -0.29 ❌ 0.60
26.06.2026 1 71.15 69.65 -0.29 ❌ 0.60
29.06.2026 1 70.68 67.30 -3.37 ✅ 0.60
30.06.2026 1 69.75 70.00 4.01 ✅ 0.60
01.07.2026 1 69.37 71.00 1.43 ✅ 0.60
02.07.2026 1 69.59 71.60 0.85 ❌ 0.60
03.07.2026 1 69.92 72.50 1.26 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 70.50 69.40 -4.28 ❌ 0.60
06.07.2026 1 71.53 69.40 -4.28 ❌ 0.60
07.07.2026 1 71.40 69.60 0.29 ❌ 0.60
08.07.2026 1 71.13 68.10 -2.16 ❌ 0.60
09.07.2026 1 70.44 67.20 -1.32 ❌ 0.60
10.07.2026 1 69.38 68.65 2.16 ✅ 0.60
13.07.2026 1 68.61 66.70 -2.84 ❌ 0.60
16.07.2026 1 68.47 68.90 0.29 ❌ 0.60
17.07.2026 1 68.32 71.35 3.56 ❌ 0.60
20.07.2026 1 68.97 70.00 -1.89 ❌ 0.60
21.07.2026 1 69.52 70.90 1.29 ✅ 0.60
22.07.2026 1 69.96 70.35 -0.78 ✅ 0.60
23.07.2026 1 70.30 70.00 -0.50 ❌ 0.60
24.07.2026 1 70.52 68.50 -2.14 ✅ 0.60
27.07.2026 1 69.95 3.24 -95.27 ❌ 0.60
28.07.2026 1 69.64 3.17 -2.16 ❌ 0.60
29.07.2026 1 69.17 3.13 -1.26 ❌ 0.60
30.07.2026 1 68.80 3.10 -0.96 ❌ 0.60
31.07.2026 1 68.50 3.16 1.94 ✅ 0.60
03.08.2026 1 68.51 3.14 -0.63 ❌ 0.60
04.08.2026 1 68.52 3.22 2.55 ✅ 0.60
05.08.2026 1 55.46 12.54 289.44 ✅ 0.60
06.08.2026 1 42.41 12.58 0.32 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 29.36 12.63 0.40 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 16.29 12.63 0.40 ❌ 0.60
07.08.2026 1 3.24 12.63 0.40 ❌ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 3.24 12.50 -1.03 ✅ 0.60
10.08.2026 1 3.24 12.50 -1.03 ✅ 0.60
11.08.2026 1 5.08 47.46 279.68 ❌ 0.60
12.08.2026 1 13.82 2.49 -94.75 ✅ 0.60
13.08.2026 1 13.70 2.26 -9.24 ❌ 0.60
14.08.2026 1 13.52 39.92 1666.37 ✅ 0.60
17.08.2026 1 20.79 60.50 51.55 ❌ 0.60
18.08.2026 1 25.66 34.52 -42.94 ✅ 0.60
19.08.2026 1 23.55 10.30 -70.16 ❌ 0.60
20.08.2026 1 24.88 34.52 235.15 ❌ 0.60
21.08.2026 1 31.14 33.28 -3.59 ✅ 0.60
24.08.2026 1 30.26 33.28 0.00 ✅ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 29.62 33.50 0.66 ✅ 0.60
25.08.2026 1 28.92 33.50 0.66 ❌ 0.60
26.08.2026 1 33.44 33.44 -0.18 ✅ 0.60
27.08.2026 1 33.27 10.97 -67.20 ✅ 0.60
31.08.2026 1 33.02 31.40 -5.42 ❌ 0.60
03.09.2026 1 77.70 29.24 -89.05 ✅ 0.60
04.09.2026 1 122.71 29.80 1.92 ✅ 0.60
07.09.2026 1 122.14 30.26 1.54 ✅ 0.60
10.09.2026 1 212.34 31.06 -87.96 ❌ 0.60
15.09.2026 1 121.65 42.40 42.47 ✅ 0.60
17.09.2026 1 116.35 26.48 754.19 ✅ 0.60
18.09.2026 1 70.50 25.20 -4.83 ❌ 0.60
21.09.2026 1 23.65 23.86 -5.32 ❌ 0.60
22.09.2026 1 22.45 23.74 -0.50 ❌ 0.60
23.09.2026 1 21.58 23.28 -1.94 ❌ 0.60
24.09.2026 1 25.68 33.48 43.81 ✅ 0.60