Toplam Tahmin
1020
Doğru
639
Yanlış
381
Başarı Oranı
%62.65
TUCLK - Tuğçelik Alüminyum ve Metal
Tahmin ID: #158998 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 4.1200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 16.7600 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %1.23
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 17.2963 TL | %3.20 |
| 29.09.2026 | 17.2179 TL | %-0.45 |
| 30.09.2026 | 16.6321 TL | %-3.40 |
| 01.10.2026 | 17.9675 TL | %8.03 |
| 02.10.2026 | 16.8638 TL | %-6.14 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %38.12 | %268.59 | 181 |
| 1 Gün | %47.83 | %208.30 | 184 |
| 3 Gün | %44.51 | %271.57 | 182 |
| 5 Gün | %35.20 | %277.73 | 179 |
| 2 Gün | %49.18 | %208.12 | 183 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.00 | -20.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 25.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 10.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 5.00 | 5.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.60 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 4.01 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 4.01 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.29 | 4.38 | 3.06 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.38 | 3.06 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 4.32 | 4.26 | -1.39 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.25 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 4.37 | 4.60 | 3.60 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 4.43 | 4.63 | 0.65 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4.49 | 4.43 | -4.32 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4.51 | 4.27 | -3.61 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4.51 | 4.21 | -1.41 | ❌ | 0.50 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.46 | 4.08 | -3.09 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.37 | 4.06 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.26 | 4.13 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.13 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.17 | 4.13 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.13 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.13 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.13 | 1.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 4.07 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 4.21 | 3.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 4.17 | 4.14 | -1.66 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.15 | 0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.08 | -1.69 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 3.95 | -3.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 4.13 | 4.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 4.09 | 4.10 | -0.73 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 4.08 | 4.31 | 5.12 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.11 | -4.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 4.16 | 4.11 | -4.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.15 | 0.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.31 | 3.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 4.23 | 4.22 | -2.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.44 | 5.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.23 | 4.34 | -2.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.30 | 4.34 | -2.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 4.34 | 4.34 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 4.34 | 4.27 | -1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.25 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 4.32 | 4.25 | -0.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 4.28 | 4.30 | 1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.28 | 4.22 | -1.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.25 | 4.16 | -1.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.24 | 4.18 | 0.48 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.08 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.08 | -2.39 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.14 | 1.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.25 | 2.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.25 | 2.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.25 | 2.66 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.30 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.40 | 2.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 4.26 | 4.45 | 1.14 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 4.32 | 4.39 | -1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.44 | 4.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 4.39 | 4.56 | 2.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 4.45 | 4.23 | -7.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.28 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.37 | 4.28 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.28 | 1.18 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 4.32 | 4.02 | -6.07 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 4.20 | 4.27 | 6.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.42 | 3.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.42 | 3.51 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 4.25 | 4.55 | 2.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 4.31 | 4.61 | 1.32 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.40 | -1.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.34 | -1.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 4.43 | 4.25 | -2.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 4.40 | 4.17 | -1.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.14 | -0.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 4.26 | 4.14 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.18 | 0.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.27 | 2.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.34 | 1.64 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.24 | 0.95 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.19 | -1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.15 | -0.95 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 4.13 | -0.48 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 4.18 | 4.08 | -1.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 4.17 | 4.06 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 4.06 | -0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 4.05 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 4.10 | 4.05 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 4.09 | 4.04 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 4.01 | -0.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 4.04 | 4.06 | 1.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 4.04 | 4.06 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 4.04 | 4.11 | 1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.06 | 4.05 | -1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 4.05 | -1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 4.08 | 4.05 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 4.08 | 3.94 | -2.72 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 4.05 | 3.93 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 4.02 | 3.97 | 1.02 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 3.99 | 3.92 | -1.26 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 3.97 | 3.99 | 1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 3.95 | 3.96 | -0.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 3.96 | 3.94 | -0.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 3.96 | 3.89 | -1.27 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 3.94 | 3.89 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 3.93 | 3.93 | 1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 3.92 | 3.85 | -2.04 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 3.90 | 3.78 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 3.88 | 3.93 | 3.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.76 | -4.33 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.68 | -2.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 4.62 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.74 | -2.86 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.79 | 1.34 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.08.2026 | 1 | 5.84 | 3.82 | -65.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.01 | -2.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 4.21 | 3.90 | -2.74 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 3.90 | 3.97 | 8.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |