Toplam Tahmin
1020
Doğru
579
Yanlış
441
Başarı Oranı
%56.76
ULKER - Ülker Bisküvi
Tahmin ID: #159007 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 85.5000 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 20.6200 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %5.62
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 22.0828 TL | %7.09 |
| 29.09.2026 | 21.6049 TL | %-2.16 |
| 30.09.2026 | 21.8160 TL | %0.98 |
| 01.10.2026 | 21.5009 TL | %-1.44 |
| 02.10.2026 | 21.7499 TL | %1.16 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gün | %36.41 | %89.79 | 184 |
| 5 Gün | %37.99 | %54.16 | 179 |
| 4 Gün | %37.78 | %30.55 | 180 |
| 2 Gün | %38.25 | %38.57 | 183 |
| 3 Gün | %41.76 | %45.89 | 182 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 114.00 | 107.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 114.00 | 107.00 | -1.83 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 114.00 | 108.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 114.00 | 108.00 | 0.93 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 113.80 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 113.60 | 108.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 113.20 | 112.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 112.80 | 112.00 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 113.00 | 115.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 113.40 | 115.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 114.00 | 116.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 114.80 | 116.00 | 0.87 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 115.80 | 114.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 116.20 | 114.00 | -1.72 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 116.00 | 118.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 115.60 | 118.00 | 3.51 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 116.00 | 122.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 116.20 | 122.00 | 3.39 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 119.80 | 134.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 124.00 | 134.00 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 127.20 | 125.00 | -3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 129.60 | 125.00 | -3.85 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 131.00 | 129.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 129.00 | 129.00 | 3.20 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 127.60 | 128.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 127.20 | 128.00 | -0.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 127.00 | 130.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 127.80 | 130.00 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 128.80 | 129.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 129.20 | 129.00 | -0.77 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 129.40 | 130.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 129.40 | 130.00 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 129.60 | 133.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 129.60 | 133.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 129.60 | 133.00 | 2.31 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 129.80 | 133.00 | 2.31 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 130.60 | 135.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 131.20 | 135.00 | 1.50 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 132.20 | 134.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 133.20 | 134.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 134.20 | 134.00 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 134.60 | 134.00 | -0.74 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 134.80 | 138.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 134.60 | 138.00 | 2.99 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 135.00 | 135.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 135.40 | 135.00 | -2.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 135.40 | 133.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 135.60 | 133.00 | -1.48 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 135.40 | 131.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 134.60 | 131.00 | -1.50 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 133.40 | 135.00 | 3.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 132.60 | 135.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 131.80 | 135.00 | 3.05 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 131.40 | 135.00 | 3.05 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 132.40 | 137.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 133.80 | 137.00 | -1.44 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 135.00 | 138.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 136.20 | 138.00 | 0.73 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 135.20 | 130.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 132.80 | 130.00 | 3.17 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 131.20 | 129.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 129.80 | 129.00 | -0.77 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 128.20 | 126.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 128.80 | 126.00 | -2.33 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 128.80 | 126.00 | -2.33 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 128.03 | 126.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 126.67 | 123.00 | -2.38 | ✅ | 0.48 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 125.13 | 121.00 | -1.63 | ✅ | 0.61 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 122.78 | 117.00 | -3.31 | ✅ | 0.49 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 412.47 | 114.60 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.65 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 411.16 | 114.60 | -1.04 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 410.65 | 119.90 | 4.62 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 116.00 | 119.90 | 4.62 | ✅ | 0.63 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 115.93 | 119.90 | 4.62 | ✅ | 0.62 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 115.30 | 109.00 | -1.45 | ❌ | 0.63 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 114.96 | 109.20 | 0.18 | ✅ | 0.58 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 114.79 | 112.20 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.66 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 114.85 | 112.50 | 0.27 | ✅ | 0.57 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 113.74 | 112.60 | 0.09 | ✅ | 0.50 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 114.02 | 110.80 | -1.60 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 113.82 | 111.30 | 0.45 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 113.32 | 110.60 | -0.63 | ❌ | 0.68 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 112.38 | 111.50 | 0.81 | ❌ | 0.58 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 111.81 | 112.50 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 111.24 | 112.50 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.61 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 111.08 | 112.50 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 111.19 | 112.50 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 111.50 | 112.50 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 111.47 | 112.50 | 0.90 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 111.69 | 117.80 | 4.71 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 112.89 | 116.90 | -0.76 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 113.85 | 119.60 | 2.31 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 115.26 | 117.20 | -2.01 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 116.43 | 117.90 | 0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 117.48 | 114.90 | -2.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 116.98 | 117.00 | 1.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 117.01 | 117.90 | 0.77 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 116.77 | 120.10 | 1.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 117.30 | 119.30 | -0.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 117.73 | 119.30 | -0.67 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 118.60 | 120.30 | 0.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 119.22 | 120.80 | 0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 119.73 | 121.90 | 0.91 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 120.16 | 124.80 | 2.38 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 121.11 | 123.90 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 122.22 | 123.90 | -0.72 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 123.01 | 123.70 | -0.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 123.69 | 122.00 | -1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 123.77 | 123.90 | 1.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 123.22 | 123.90 | 1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 123.02 | 124.00 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 123.04 | 121.00 | -2.42 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 122.51 | 122.80 | 1.49 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 122.65 | 123.90 | 0.90 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 123.08 | 125.90 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 123.11 | 125.90 | 1.61 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 123.11 | 127.00 | 0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 123.68 | 129.10 | 1.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 124.50 | 129.10 | 1.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 124.46 | 129.10 | 1.65 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 125.11 | 130.30 | 0.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 126.36 | 130.40 | 0.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 127.64 | 130.00 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 128.22 | 128.10 | -1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 128.54 | 127.10 | 1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 128.54 | 123.00 | -3.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 127.18 | 119.90 | -2.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 125.19 | 119.20 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 123.25 | 119.20 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 122.23 | 119.20 | -0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 120.66 | 111.80 | -6.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 118.36 | 117.70 | 5.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 117.85 | 117.40 | -0.25 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 117.34 | 117.40 | -0.25 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 116.41 | 115.90 | 0.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 115.75 | 118.00 | 1.81 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 116.46 | 115.20 | -0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 115.91 | 115.80 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 115.53 | 116.00 | 0.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 115.61 | 115.50 | -0.43 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 115.53 | 114.50 | -0.87 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 115.34 | 111.10 | -2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 114.55 | 113.20 | 1.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 114.05 | 116.70 | 3.09 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 114.20 | 115.90 | -0.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 114.03 | 117.00 | 2.01 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 114.51 | 109.80 | -6.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 114.24 | 26.50 | -75.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 96.91 | 107.10 | 304.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 95.04 | 103.90 | -2.99 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 93.62 | 102.20 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 91.73 | 102.20 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 90.12 | 102.40 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 105.22 | 102.40 | 0.20 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 104.19 | 102.00 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 101.97 | 99.30 | -2.65 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 100.43 | 99.50 | 0.20 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 99.86 | 98.45 | -1.06 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 99.14 | 100.10 | 1.68 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 98.59 | 99.30 | -0.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 99.36 | 99.30 | -0.80 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 99.29 | 99.60 | 0.30 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 99.41 | 97.25 | -2.36 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 99.63 | 97.30 | 0.05 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 99.21 | 97.00 | -0.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 98.54 | 96.00 | -1.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 97.90 | 99.05 | 3.02 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 97.80 | 97.95 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 97.48 | 97.55 | -0.41 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 97.53 | 96.00 | -1.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 97.32 | 95.45 | -0.57 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 97.18 | 94.35 | -1.15 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 96.26 | 23.76 | -74.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.07.2026 | 1 | 81.42 | 23.10 | -2.78 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.07.2026 | 1 | 66.68 | 22.86 | -1.04 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.07.2026 | 1 | 52.24 | 22.38 | -2.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.07.2026 | 1 | 37.91 | 21.50 | -3.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.07.2026 | 1 | 23.78 | 21.18 | -1.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 03.08.2026 | 1 | 23.77 | 21.08 | -0.47 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.08.2026 | 1 | 23.78 | 21.46 | 1.80 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 23.37 | 37.06 | 72.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.08.2026 | 1 | 22.96 | 39.00 | 5.23 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 22.56 | 40.28 | 3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 22.16 | 40.28 | 3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.08.2026 | 1 | 21.75 | 40.28 | 3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 21.72 | 38.52 | -4.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.08.2026 | 1 | 21.73 | 38.52 | -4.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.08.2026 | 1 | 86.89 | 90.70 | 2280.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.08.2026 | 1 | 100.71 | 31.38 | -65.40 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 109.81 | 91.50 | 191.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.08.2026 | 1 | 125.06 | 27.74 | -69.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 57.79 | 92.80 | 234.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 73.93 | 93.45 | 0.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 76.31 | 91.75 | -1.82 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 77.61 | 90.75 | -1.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 79.43 | 90.75 | -1.09 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 91.88 | 92.20 | 1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 93.05 | 92.65 | 0.49 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 91.00 | 89.95 | -2.12 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 90.96 | 89.95 | -0.39 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.09.2026 | 1 | 90.64 | 21.80 | -75.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.09.2026 | 1 | 90.60 | 22.00 | 0.92 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 77.03 | 92.60 | 320.91 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.09.2026 | 1 | 77.54 | 96.15 | 1.37 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 78.64 | 94.20 | -2.03 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 78.61 | 94.25 | 0.05 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 78.99 | 89.15 | -4.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 91.26 | 89.60 | 5.10 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 90.08 | 18.37 | -79.50 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 74.66 | 87.20 | 374.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 74.35 | 88.60 | 1.61 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.09.2026 | 1 | 73.72 | 90.15 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |