Toplam Tahmin
1020
Doğru
600
Yanlış
420
Başarı Oranı
%58.82
ULUFA - Ulusal Faktoring
Tahmin ID: #159008 | Model Çalışma Zamanı: 28.09.2026
Şuanki Hisse Fiyatı: 1.4200 TL
Temel Veriler
- Son Kapanış Fiyatı: 4.8900 TL
- Model Güven Puanı: 0.6000
- 5 Günlük Toplam Getiri: %-2.28
5 Günlük Tahmin Serisi
| Gün | Tahmin Fiyatı | %Getiri |
|---|---|---|
| 28.09.2026 | 4.8526 TL | %-0.76 |
| 29.09.2026 | 4.8117 TL | %-0.84 |
| 30.09.2026 | 4.7520 TL | %-1.24 |
| 01.10.2026 | 4.7543 TL | %0.05 |
| 02.10.2026 | 4.7789 TL | %0.52 |
1 Yıllık Günlük Kapanış Fiyat Grafiği
5 Günlük Tahmin Fiyatı ve Getiri Serisi
Değerleme Metrikleri (F/K, FD/FAVÖK, PD/DD)
Tahminde Kullanılan Metrikler (Feature'lar)
USD/TRY
BIST100
Enflasyon
Yabancı Oran
Ort. Sentiment
Tahminlerin günlük gerçekleşenlerle grafiksel olarak karşılaştırılması
Gerçekleşen ve Tahmin Durumu
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Vade | Başarı Yüzdesi | Ort. Hata Yüzdesi | Toplam Tahmin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Gün | %31.67 | %161.48 | 180 |
| 5 Gün | %30.73 | %45.08 | 179 |
| 1 Gün | %45.65 | %159.58 | 184 |
| 2 Gün | %39.67 | %158.22 | 184 |
| 3 Gün | %32.97 | %162.02 | 182 |
Günlük olarak tahminlerin gerçekleşenlerle karşılaştırılması
📊 Model Başarı Performansı
| Tarih | Gün | Tahmin | Gerçek | Getiri % | Yön | Güven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -4.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 31.12.2025 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 07.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 08.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 12.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 19.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 21.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 22.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 23.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 26.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 27.01.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 3.00 | -1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 28.01.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | -3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 29.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 30.01.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 8.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 02.02.2026 | 1 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 03.02.2026 | 1 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.60 | 4.00 | -4.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 04.02.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 05.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 06.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 09.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 13.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 16.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 20.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 24.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -2.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 4.00 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ❌ | 0.00 |
| 25.02.2026 | 1 | 3.80 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 26.02.2026 | 1 | 3.81 | 4.00 | 33.33 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 27.02.2026 | 1 | 3.61 | 3.00 | -25.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 02.03.2026 | 1 | 3.41 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 03.03.2026 | 1 | 3.22 | 3.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 05.03.2026 | 1 | 9.19 | 3.83 | -88.36 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 9.34 | 3.81 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 09.03.2026 | 1 | 9.50 | 3.81 | 1.33 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 9.67 | 3.95 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.95 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 10.03.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 3.95 | 3.67 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 13.03.2026 | 1 | 3.87 | 3.96 | 1.54 | ✅ | 0.45 |
| 16.03.2026 | 1 | 3.91 | 4.06 | 2.53 | ✅ | 0.69 |
| 18.03.2026 | 1 | 3.99 | 4.26 | 2.40 | ✅ | 0.56 |
| 19.03.2026 | 1 | 4.08 | 4.25 | -0.23 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 23.03.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.11 | -3.29 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 24.03.2026 | 1 | 4.19 | 4.27 | 3.89 | ✅ | 0.67 |
| 25.03.2026 | 1 | 4.24 | 4.69 | 9.84 | ❌ | 0.73 |
| 26.03.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.74 | 1.07 | ❌ | 0.45 |
| 27.03.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.37 | -7.81 | ✅ | 0.71 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.43 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.48 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 28.03.2026 | 1 | 4.50 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.71 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.44 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.03.2026 | 1 | 4.36 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.03.2026 | 1 | 4.35 | 4.50 | 2.97 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.03.2026 | 1 | 4.37 | 4.45 | -1.11 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 01.04.2026 | 1 | 4.39 | 4.68 | 5.17 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.04.2026 | 1 | 4.46 | 4.69 | 0.21 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.04.2026 | 1 | 4.53 | 4.86 | 3.62 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.04.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.57 | -5.97 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.04.2026 | 1 | 4.64 | 4.38 | -4.16 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.04.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.45 | 1.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.04.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.45 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.04.2026 | 1 | 4.53 | 4.80 | 7.87 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.04.2026 | 1 | 4.52 | 4.65 | -3.13 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 13.04.2026 | 1 | 4.57 | 4.65 | -3.13 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 14.04.2026 | 1 | 4.63 | 4.86 | 4.52 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.04.2026 | 1 | 4.71 | 4.80 | -1.23 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.04.2026 | 1 | 4.78 | 4.76 | -0.83 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.04.2026 | 1 | 4.77 | 4.74 | -0.42 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.76 | 4.90 | 3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.04.2026 | 1 | 4.78 | 4.90 | 3.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 21.04.2026 | 1 | 4.79 | 4.97 | 1.43 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.04.2026 | 1 | 4.82 | 5.08 | 2.21 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.04.2026 | 1 | 4.88 | 4.58 | -9.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.04.2026 | 1 | 4.94 | 4.58 | -9.84 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.04.2026 | 1 | 4.91 | 4.66 | 1.75 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 28.04.2026 | 1 | 4.86 | 4.45 | -4.51 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 29.04.2026 | 1 | 4.77 | 4.15 | -6.74 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.04.2026 | 1 | 4.59 | 4.11 | -0.96 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.05.2026 | 1 | 4.42 | 4.17 | 1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 04.05.2026 | 1 | 4.33 | 4.17 | 1.46 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 05.05.2026 | 1 | 4.22 | 4.10 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.16 | 4.09 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 4.09 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.05.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.09 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 4.13 | 0.98 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 08.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 4.10 | -0.73 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 11.05.2026 | 1 | 4.11 | 4.23 | 3.17 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.05.2026 | 1 | 4.13 | 4.12 | -2.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 14.05.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.13 | -0.24 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 15.05.2026 | 1 | 4.14 | 4.12 | -0.24 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.05.2026 | 1 | 4.15 | 3.96 | -3.88 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.12 | 3.84 | -3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 19.05.2026 | 1 | 4.07 | 3.84 | -3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.05.2026 | 1 | 4.03 | 3.84 | -3.03 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.05.2026 | 1 | 3.98 | 3.66 | -4.69 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.05.2026 | 1 | 3.88 | 3.78 | 3.28 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.05.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.87 | 2.38 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.05.2026 | 1 | 3.81 | 3.87 | 2.38 | ❌ | 0.62 |
| 01.06.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.81 | -1.55 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.06.2026 | 1 | 3.78 | 3.87 | 1.57 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 04.06.2026 | 1 | 3.82 | 3.87 | 0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.06.2026 | 1 | 3.83 | 3.90 | 0.78 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.06.2026 | 1 | 3.86 | 3.85 | -1.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.06.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.78 | -1.82 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.06.2026 | 1 | 3.85 | 3.82 | 1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.06.2026 | 1 | 3.84 | 1.86 | -51.31 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 12.06.2026 | 1 | 3.44 | 1.87 | 0.54 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.06.2026 | 1 | 3.04 | 1.95 | 4.28 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.06.2026 | 1 | 2.66 | 1.95 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.06.2026 | 1 | 2.28 | 1.96 | 3.70 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.06.2026 | 1 | 1.90 | 1.93 | -1.53 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.06.2026 | 1 | 1.91 | 1.93 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 23.06.2026 | 1 | 1.93 | 1.92 | -0.52 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.06.2026 | 1 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1.93 | 1.89 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.06.2026 | 1 | 1.94 | 1.89 | -1.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1.93 | 1.87 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.06.2026 | 1 | 1.92 | 1.87 | -1.06 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 29.06.2026 | 1 | 1.91 | 1.85 | -1.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 30.06.2026 | 1 | 1.89 | 1.83 | -1.08 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 01.07.2026 | 1 | 1.87 | 1.80 | -1.64 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 02.07.2026 | 1 | 1.85 | 1.81 | 0.56 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 03.07.2026 | 1 | 1.84 | 1.79 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1.82 | 1.79 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 06.07.2026 | 1 | 1.81 | 1.79 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 07.07.2026 | 1 | 1.80 | 1.76 | -1.68 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 08.07.2026 | 1 | 1.80 | 1.72 | -2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 09.07.2026 | 1 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 0.58 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 10.07.2026 | 1 | 1.76 | 1.73 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 13.07.2026 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.67 | -3.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 16.07.2026 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.70 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.07.2026 | 1 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 20.07.2026 | 1 | 1.76 | 1.80 | 0.56 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.07.2026 | 1 | 1.77 | 1.76 | -2.22 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 22.07.2026 | 1 | 1.78 | 1.80 | 2.27 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.07.2026 | 1 | 1.79 | 1.78 | -1.11 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.07.2026 | 1 | 1.79 | 1.71 | -3.93 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 05.08.2026 | 1 | 18.80 | 2.42 | -97.26 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 17.08.2026 | 1 | 7.87 | 9.59 | 444.89 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 18.08.2026 | 1 | 7.76 | 1.73 | -81.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 19.08.2026 | 1 | 2.70 | 6.34 | 266.47 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 20.08.2026 | 1 | 2.83 | 1.70 | -73.19 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.08.2026 | 1 | 3.69 | 1.71 | 0.59 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 24.08.2026 | 1 | 3.66 | 1.70 | -0.58 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 3.63 | 1.66 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 25.08.2026 | 1 | 3.59 | 1.66 | -2.35 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 26.08.2026 | 1 | 2.66 | 1.69 | 1.81 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 27.08.2026 | 1 | 1.72 | 1.67 | -1.18 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 31.08.2026 | 1 | 1.73 | 1.64 | -2.96 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 02.09.2026 | 1 | 1.72 | 1.65 | -0.60 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 07.09.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 1.66 | -92.44 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 09.09.2026 | 1 | 5.67 | 1.70 | 1.19 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 10.09.2026 | 1 | 5.68 | 1.67 | -1.76 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 11.09.2026 | 1 | 5.71 | 1.67 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 15.09.2026 | 1 | 5.71 | 1.58 | -3.07 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 17.09.2026 | 1 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 18.09.2026 | 1 | 1.63 | 1.48 | -1.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 21.09.2026 | 1 | 1.59 | 1.50 | 1.35 | ✅ | 0.60 |
| 22.09.2026 | 1 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 0.00 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 23.09.2026 | 1 | 1.50 | 1.24 | -17.33 | ❌ | 0.60 |
| 24.09.2026 | 1 | 1.50 | 1.18 | -4.84 | ❌ | 0.60 |